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Originally posted by Arkady
Realistically I think it depends just how badly the S has HTF and which type of S. With a lot of SHTF scenarios, for example, nuclear war - there will be a larger secondary batch of S hitting TF after the first. Many many people that survive the initial S will die of starvation and dehydration then disease and fighting for control of the remaining resources and in attempts to seize power will claim many more.
Any nuclear war that doesn't totally destroy the world as we know it to the extent that it is impossible to survive will leave a lot of survivors.
A lethal global pandemic that kills more than 50% of the population would be a totally different story for survivors and again it depends wether 20% of the population survives because they are immune or 20% survives because they were somehow isolated when the S came spraying out of the fan. The extent to which the surviving population is initially dispersed and wether the pattern of dispersal is random is an important factor to consider, In the latter of these two scenarios you're going to have large groups forming from day one to work together but in the former it's more likely to be smaller groups looking after number one.
Personally these are the only SHTF scenarios I find to be plausable, I don't believe in 2012 or anything like that.