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In 2004, NASA scientists announced that there was a chance that Apophis, an asteroid larger than two football fields, could smash into Earth in 2029. A few additional observations and some number-crunching later, astronomers noted that the chance of the planet-killer hitting Earth in 2029 was nearly zilch.
Now, reports out of Russia say that scientists there estimate Apophis will collide with Earth on April 13, 2036. These reports conflict on the probability of such a doomsday event, but the question remains: How scared should we be?
“Technically, they’re correct, there is a chance i
Originally posted by Jeremiah Johnson
My next question would be how catastrophic would such a collision be? Say smashing into land or sea?
According to ASE (Association of Space Explorers), Apophis may strike the Planet on April 13, 2036. The chances are now supposed to be low, and its hazard potential has been reworked several times, but the actual chances of a Deep Impact will be known only by 2014, when more data is collected.
Originally posted by CanadianDream420
For NASA to even acknowledge this "event" 25 years befores its supposed occurence makes this suspicious enough to post.. Especially making reference to Russian scientists??
1 in 250,000 is pretty darn good odds to me... that, or I watch entirely too much YouTube.edit on 9-2-2011 by CanadianDream420 because: (no reason given)
Originally posted by weedwhacker
Look....critical reasoning skills need to be applied --- we know there will be a close encounter in 2029.
Apophis is an asteroid with an slightly offset orbit to that of Earth's. Discovered in June 2004, astronomers have determined that it will make a very close flyby on Friday, April 13th, 2029, where it will pass to within 5 Earth diameters of us. The exact path the asteroid follows on its flyby in 2029 will determine whether it smashes into the Earth seven years later.
Originally posted by Hero Protagonist
I'd be more worried about Comet Elenin later on this year. It's supposedly going to come pretty close (well, really close) between September and November, depending on what it encounters in the Oort cloud. Named after Leonid Elenin. (Leonid? ELEnin?)
Originally posted by PuterMan
There is some sort of window in 2029 through which Apophis must pass for it to hit us in 2036. THEY say that it is not going to hit that window now.
I don't think I care either way. I shall be 88 in 2036. Way to go if it does hit!! Anyway the Icelandic volcanoes will have got us before that.