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Southern Hurricane/Cyclone/Typhoon Watch 2011-2012

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posted on Feb, 1 2011 @ 02:41 PM
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6:30 am, watching the news here in Queensland and Cyclone Yasi has now been upgraded to a category 5!!!!

This is extremely scary stuff, stay safe everyone up north.



posted on Feb, 1 2011 @ 02:55 PM
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Here is a real time water vapour sat image ,www.goes.noaa.gov... Thanks to dniMnepO for showing me this
Takes a minute to load,worth the wait

edit on 1-2-2011 by 12voltz because: of the perfect storm



posted on Feb, 1 2011 @ 06:35 PM
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reply to post by meeks
 


Australia braces for Cyclone Yasi as it hits Category 5


The last radar image from Willis Island added below. The last radar image is truly striking.

Also, see below for the differences between the Australia hurricane scale and the familiar Saffir-Simpson scale used in the USA. They are not equal.

From Australia’s BoM, time to “get outta Dodge” as they say:


Looking bad I must say. I hope they get through this OK.

Edit: Just read further in the article:


SEVERE TC YASI IS A LARGE AND VERY POWERFUL TROPICAL CYCLONE AND POSES AN EXTREMELY SERIOUS THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY WITHIN THE WARNING AREA, ESPECIALLY BETWEEN CAIRNS AND TOWNSVILLE.

THIS IMPACT IS LIKELY TO BE MORE LIFE THREATENING THAN ANY EXPERIENCED DURING RECENT GENERATIONS.


Caps is as written in the article. That is a pretty dire warning I have to say. Never heard one like that before.


DAMAGING WINDS with gusts to 90 km/hr that are currently developing on coastal islands, are forecast to develop about the coast by late morning and about the tropical interior overnight.


Nah, nothing.


Between Cape Tribulation and Ingham these winds will become DESTRUCTIVE with gusts in excess of 125km/hr during the afternoon


OK it's getting breezy


and early evening and VERY DESTRUCTIVE with gusts up to 300 km/hr between Cairns and Ingham during the evening as the cyclone approaches and crosses the coast. These VERY DESTRUCTIVE winds can also occur on the seaward side of hills to the north of the cyclone and are also forecast to reach the Atherton Tablelands.


WTF - I have never seen 300 kph winds forecast before ever not never. That is 188 mph

edit on 1/2/2011 by PuterMan because: (no reason given)



posted on Feb, 1 2011 @ 10:14 PM
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Again, here is the link for the infrared image; MTSAT

Latest Bureau advice (bom.gov.au):

TOP PRIORITY TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 14 Issued by the Bureau of Meteorology, Brisbane Issued at 1:53pm EST on Wednesday the 2nd of February 2011 A Cyclone WARNING is current for coastal and island communities from Cape Flattery to Sarina, extending inland to Julia Creek and to the area west of Croydon. A Cyclone WATCH is current for the remaining inland parts west to the Northern Territory border and north of Winton. The Cyclone WARNING from Cape Melville to Cape Flattery has been cancelled. At 1:00 pm EST Severe Tropical Cyclone Yasi, Category 5 was estimated to be 345 kilometres east of Cairns and 360 kilometres northeast of Townsville and moving west southwest at 35 kilometres per hour. SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE YASI IS A LARGE AND VERY POWERFUL TROPICAL CYCLONE AND POSES AN EXTREMELY SERIOUS THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY WITHIN THE WARNING AREA, ESPECIALLY BETWEEN CAIRNS AND TOWNSVILLE. DURING THE EVENING, THE VERY DESTRUCTIVE CORE OF CYCLONE YASI WILL CROSS THE COAST BETWEEN CAIRNS AND INGHAM, ACCOMPANIED BY A DANGEROUS STORM TIDE SOUTH OF THE CYCLONE CENTRE. Tropical Cyclone Yasi, CATEGORY 5, will continue to move in a west-southwesterly direction. The cyclone is expected to cross the coast between Innisfail and Cardwell close to midnight. Coastal residents within the warning area, and particularly between Cairns and Proserpine including the Whitsundays, are specifically warned of an EXTREMELY DANGEROUS SEA LEVEL RISE [i.e. storm tide] as the cyclone approaches, crosses the coast and moves inland. The sea is likely to steadily rise up to a level which will be VERY DANGEROUSLY above the normal tide, with EXTREMELY DAMAGING WAVES, STRONG CURRENTS and FLOODING of low-lying areas extending some way inland. People living in areas likely to be affected by this flooding should take measures to protect their property as much as possible, and be prepared to follow instructions regarding evacuation of the area if advised to do so by authorities. DAMAGING WINDS with gusts to 90 km/hr are currently affecting the coast and islands, and are forecast to spread into the tropical interior overnight and west to Julia Creek during Thursday. Between Port Douglas and Ayr these winds will become DESTRUCTIVE with gusts in excess of 125 km/hr developing during this afternoon and early evening, spreading into the tropical interior overnight. VERY DESTRUCTIVE winds with gusts up to 290 km/hr are expected to develop between Cairns and Ingham during the evening as the cyclone approaches and crosses the coast. These VERY DESTRUCTIVE winds will also occur on the seaward side of hills to the north of the cyclone and also affect the Atherton Tablelands. Due to the large size of the cyclone, people in the path of the VERY DESTRUCTIVE WINDS are likely to experience these conditions for about 3 to 4 hours. Winds are forecast to gradually ease about the east coast during Thursday morning as the cyclone moves inland. FLOODING RAINS will develop from Cooktown to Sarina during the afternoon and then extend inland overnight. People between Cape Flattery and Sarina, extending inland to Julia Creek and to the area west of Croydon should complete preparations quickly and be prepared to shelter in a safe place. - Boats and outside property should be secured. - For cyclone preparedness and safety advice, visit Queensland's Disaster Management Services website [www.disaster.qld.gov.au] - For emergency assistance call the Queensland State Emergency Service [SES] on 132 500 [for assistance with storm damage, rising flood water, fallen trees on buildings or roof damage]. People about the remaining inland parts west to the Northern Territory border and north of Winton should consider what action they will need to take if the cyclone threat increases. - Information is available from your local government - For cyclone preparedness and safety advice, visit Queensland's Disaster Management Services website [www.disaster.qld.gov.au] - For emergency assistance call the Queensland State Emergency Service [SES] on 132 500 [for assistance with storm damage, rising flood water, fallen trees on buildings or roof damage]. Details of Severe Tropical Cyclone Yasi at 1:00 pm EST: .Centre located near...... 16.8 degrees South 149.0 degrees East .Location accuracy........ within 30 kilometres .Recent movement.......... towards the west southwest at 35 kilometres per hour .Wind gusts near centre... 290 kilometres per hour .Severity category........ 5 .Central pressure......... 930 hectoPascals Please ensure that neighbours have heard and understood this message, particularly new arrivals or those who may not fully understand English.


Observations for different towns are here

10680 people are in evacuation centres who have registered according to Anna Bligh on live tv at the moment. She also states that ground zero is now expected to be between Innisfail & Cardwell at about 9pm - midnight.

It could take an hour for the eye to pass.

Georgetown & Croydon inland are expected to experience a cat.3 tomorrow after the cyclone crosses the coast.

The anemometer on Willis Island stopped recording at 185km/h wind gust. They cyclone passed directly over it earlier today.

Airlie beach which is not in the danger zone has already lost power to 3000 homes and powerlines have come down with winds of 80km/h.
Storm surges are expected to reach up to 7m above highest tide levels.
edit on 1-2-2011 by zenius because: Added info



posted on Feb, 2 2011 @ 01:25 AM
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Cyclone Yasi LIVE from Cairns , Edge Hill.
justin.tv...



posted on Feb, 7 2011 @ 01:41 AM
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Could get a bit wet and windy on New Zealand north island. Cyclone Zaka is heading your way.

Vanuatu met

Fiji Met

mtsat


GALE WARNING 113 This affects ocean area: SUBTROPIC Tropical Cyclone ZAKA [987hPa] centre was located near 29.0 South 179.5 West at 070600 UTC. Position Fair. Repeat position 29.0S 179.5W at 070600 UTC. Cyclone is moving southsouthwest 20 knots. Expect sustained winds of 45 knots close to the centre easing to 40 knots by 071800 UTC and then easing to 35 knots by 080600 UTC. Expect winds over 33 knots within 120 nautical miles of centre in the sector from north through east to west and within 60 nautical miles of centre in the northwest quadrant. Forecast position near 32.8S 178.9E at 071800 UTC and near 37.0S 179.7E at 080600 UTC. This warning cancels and replaces warning 103. Issued at 8:07pm Monday 7 February 2011
source
edit on 7-2-2011 by zenius because: add link



posted on Feb, 15 2011 @ 10:43 PM
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reply to post by zenius
 


Yeah I didn't follow that one, but we had some pretty strong winds here in Cook Strait.
Been drizzly and SE winds for Monday and Tuesday, probably the tail end of Zaka out to the east.
We are getting Winter type winds in the middle of Summer


La Nina sux



posted on Feb, 15 2011 @ 11:02 PM
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TC Carlos over Darwin right now



TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 9
Issued by the BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, DARWIN
at 2:16 pm CST Wednesday 16 February 2011
At 12:30 pm CST Tropical Cyclone Carlos, Category 1 was estimated to be 15
kilometres southeast of Darwin and 125 kilometres south southeast of Snake Bay
and moving east northeast at 5 kilometres per hour.
GALES with gusts to 100 kilometres per hour are currently being experienced on
the coast between Darwin and Point Stuart. GALES with gusts to 120 kilometres
per hour are expected to develop over the southern Tiwi Islands tonight, and may
extend further south to Daly River Mouth during Thursday and as far as Port
Keats on Friday.
HEAVY RAIN is causing widespread flooding in the northern Darwin-Daly District
and the Tiwi Islands.

Residents from Daly River Mouth to Goulburn Island including the Tiwi Islands
and Croker Island are advised that now is the time to make final preparations to
your home shelter or identify which public emergency shelter to use.

Residents of communities under Cyclone Watch are advised that now is the time to
put together your emergency kit, clear your yards and balconies, and commence
home shelter preparations.

www.bom.gov.au...


heard a guy on the phone from Darwin on RadioNZ, he said it was 100kmph winds, geez thats just a normal blustery Wellington day

edit on 15-2-2011 by muzzy because: (no reason given)



posted on Feb, 16 2011 @ 03:29 AM
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You beat me to it.

I had a look at Darwins Observations.

I believe the guy was exaggerating a tad. There was a 98 km/h GUST last night around 9.30pm.



posted on Feb, 17 2011 @ 02:58 AM
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Western Australia's turn

TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 10 Issued at 2:50 pm WST on Thursday 17 February 2011 A Cyclone WARNING is current for coastal areas from Exmouth to Coral Bay. A Cyclone WATCH is current for coastal areas from Onslow to Exmouth and Coral Bay to Overlander Roadhouse, including Carnarvon and Denham, including Carnarvon and Denham. At 2:00 pm WST Tropical Cyclone Dianne, Category 2 was estimated to be 415 kilometres northwest of Exmouth and 670 kilometres north northwest of Carnarvon and is near stationary. Tropical Cyclone Dianne remains near stationary well off the northwest coast. Diane is expected to drift slowly south overnight tonight and during Friday. If it moves closer to the coast GALES with gusts to 100 kilometres per hour may develop in coastal areas between Exmouth and Coral Bay on Friday, extending south to Overlander Roadhouse during Saturday. If Diane takes a more south easterly track DESTRUCTIVE winds with gusts in excess of 125 kilometres per hour may occur between Coral Bay and Overlander Roadhouse on Saturday. Tides along the entire west coast will be higher than normal over the next few days. Tides between Onslow and Shark Bay are likely to exceed the high water mark with flooding of low lying coastal areas possible. A Flood Warning is current for the Gascoyne, Murchison and Greenough Rivers and a Flood Watch is current for the Irwin River. Flooding is also expected in other areas of Western Australia. Please refer to the full list of Flood Watches and Warnings at www.bom.gov.au FESA State Emergency Service (SES) advises of the following community alerts: BLUE ALERT: People in or near Exmouth and Coral Bay need to prepare for cyclonic weather and organise an emergency kit including first aid kit, torch, portable radio, spare batteries, food and water. Other communities between Onslow and Overlander Roadhouse, including Carnarvon and Denham should listen for the next advice. Details of Tropical Cyclone Dianne at 2:00 pm WST: .Centre located near...... 19.2 degrees South 111.4 degrees East .Location accuracy........ within 55 kilometres .Recent movement.......... near stationary .Wind gusts near centre... 130 kilometres per hour and INTENSIFYING .Severity category........ 2 .Central pressure......... 978 hectoPascals The next advice will be issued by 6:00 pm WST Thursday 17 February.


bom



posted on Apr, 20 2011 @ 08:06 AM
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It looks like the tropical storm season is coming to the Caribbean early this year.

www.weather.com...
edit on 20-4-2011 by Aggie Man because: (no reason given)



posted on Apr, 20 2011 @ 12:05 PM
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reply to post by Aggie Man
 


It is early but a little warning sign of what may be
some ride this season. I think its time to keep
an eye on the tropics.



posted on Apr, 20 2011 @ 06:49 PM
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reply to post by Aggie Man
 


Good catch. The NHC is off and running.

ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

SPECIAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
335 PM EDT WED APR 20 2011

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

1. A LOW PRESSURE AREA LOCATED ABOUT 460 MILES NORTHEAST OF SAN JUAN
PUERTO RICO HAS DEVELOPED SOME SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY
NEAR ITS CENTER. IN ADDITION...SATELLITE DATA AND SHIP REPORTS
INDICATE GALE-FORCE WINDS ARE OCCURRING NORTH OF THE CENTER. SLOW
DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE DURING THE COUPLE OF DAYS AS
IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT ABOUT 10 MPH. THERE IS A LOW
CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM DEVELOPING INTO A SUBTROPICAL
OR TROPICAL CYCLONE BEFORE CONDITIONS BECOME LESS FAVORABLE IN
ABOUT 48 HOURS. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS LOW CAN BE FOUND IN
HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NHC/TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND
FORECAST BRANCH...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT2 AND WMO HEADER
FZNT02 KNHC. ANOTHER SPECIAL OUTLOOK WILL BE ISSUED ON THURSDAY...
OR SOONER IF NECESSARY.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN

www.nhc.noaa.gov...



posted on Apr, 22 2011 @ 05:52 PM
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Down to only a 10% chance of formation now. It was still kinda cool to have something to look at so early in the season. I wonder if that is any indication, stronger or weaker, of what the season ahead will actually be like.

SPECIAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
530 PM EDT FRI APR 22 2011

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

1. SHOWER ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH A NON-TROPICAL LOW CENTERED ABOUT
430 MILES SOUTH OF BERMUDA HAS CHANGED LITTLE IN ORGANIZATION DURING
THE DAY. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE BECOMING LESS CONDUCIVE FOR
DEVELOPMENT...AND THEY ARE FORECAST TO BECOME HIGHLY UNFAVORABLE
FOR DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. THERE IS A LOW
CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM DEVELOPING INTO A SUBTROPICAL
OR TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THAT TIME. THE LOW IS NOW MOVING TOWARD
THE WEST-SOUTHWEST AT ABOUT 10 MPH...AND A GENERALLY SOUTHWESTWARD
MOTION IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION ON THIS LOW CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED
BY THE NHC/TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH...UNDER AWIPS
HEADER NFDHSFAT2 AND WMO HEADER FZNT02 KNHC. ADDITIONAL SPECIAL
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOKS WILL BE ISSUED AS NECESSARY.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN

www.nhc.noaa.gov...



posted on May, 30 2011 @ 11:08 PM
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Well the tropical storm just hit Fukushima.

And this might be the first GoM tropical storm of the year.

Tropical system being monitored south of Cuba, moving northward

It is not officially the Atlantic Hurricane Season yet, however TheWeatherSpace.com is monitoring a disturbance in the Southern Caribbean this week and into next week.

"It is early to tell but ongoing thunderstorm activity associated with a tropical wave developing down there will drift northward through Cuba this and next week toward Florida", said TheWeatherSpace Senior Meteorologist Kevin Martin. "The weak ridging in the southeast may promote development into something stronger over the next week".

Should Martin be correct, Florida will need to keep an eye on future updates out of TheWeatherSpace.com.



posted on May, 31 2011 @ 04:59 PM
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Heads up y'all.... here she comes,

Off the east coast of Africa, looks like the 1st one of the season...

Not a low pressure system yet, but spinning already...

Wait for it.....

www.stormpulse.com...
edit on 31-5-2011 by freetree64 because: (no reason given)



posted on Jun, 2 2011 @ 03:46 PM
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NHC is watching two systems, one with a 10% chance of further development, and the other with a 20%.

www.nhc.noaa.gov...



posted on Jun, 4 2011 @ 08:49 AM
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There is a new little wave with a 30% chance of developing...

www.nhc.noaa.gov...
edit on 4-6-2011 by lasertaglover because: (no reason given)



posted on Jun, 7 2011 @ 08:48 AM
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East pacific has a wave with a near 100% chance of forming into a tropical depression today.

www.nhc.noaa.gov...

The other side (Atl/Carrib) has one wave with a 20% chance of forming. The Air Force Recon of this system that was scheduled for today has been cancelled.

www.nhc.noaa.gov...
edit on 7-6-2011 by lasertaglover because: added second link



posted on Jun, 11 2011 @ 03:00 AM
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reply to post by lasertaglover
 


Yes, that 100% is now Hurricane Adrian.
Thanks for giving the heads up.



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