It looks like you're using an Ad Blocker.
Please white-list or disable AboveTopSecret.com in your ad-blocking tool.
Thank you.
Some features of ATS will be disabled while you continue to use an ad-blocker.
Originally posted by traditionaldrummer
Extremely vague and cryptic nonsense designed to serve as a mold for a variety of tragic events.
THE LEADER IS ASSASSINATED
IS IT A BULLET IN THE HEAD OR DOES HIS PLANE FALL FROM THE SKY
Originally posted by TheTimeMachine
Really?
Please explain to us what is so cryptic about this :
THE LEADER IS ASSASSINATED
IS IT A BULLET IN THE HEAD OR DOES HIS PLANE FALL FROM THE SKY
Was a leader assassinated?
Yes, a Pakistani governor was assassinated. A few days later there was the attempted assassination of Gabrielle Giffords.
Was there a bullet in the head?
They both got a bullet in the head. First time for a US politician since RFK.
Did a plane fall from the sky?
Yes, killing at least 77 people. It happened the day after the assassination attempt on Gabrielle Giffords and it happened in Iran, the only country mentioned in the prophecy. Both events made newspaper headlines on the same day.
Traditionaldrummer, you've failed in every possible way with this dumb thread of yours.
Originally posted by Balboa
So, what does it mean? It means Bem has shown good evidence that people have a (very weak) psi ability, that operates on a subconscious level.
Originally posted by TheTimeMachine
d. two rare back to back 7.0+ quakes hit 1/1 and 1/2
Originally posted by traditionaldrummer
Or it simply shows that given enough trials, some people may occasionally have success at calling a coin toss at rates slightly higher than chance. Random number generators produce strings of numbers that would also appear at rates higher than predictable by chance.
Bem's trick is to distract you from the failure rate which is consistent with random chance.
Originally posted by Balboa
Bem mentions that a huge problem in psi research is reproducing results. I guess its because they start with people who are supposedly psychics, who are easy to debunk. However, in this case the hypothesis is that the average person uses a very weak psi ability at a subconscious level. So, there's a much better chance of people reproducing this.
Originally posted by traditionaldrummer
Perhaps, though is a 3% above chance rate particularly significant? Or is a failure rate at 3% under chance significant? Is there any significance whatsoever to people being able to predict which side of the screen a porno image will appear?
Bem's paper is still a bit of a red herring in terms of the OP. There was a 0% rate of success of anyone - pro psychics to the average Joe - being able to predict this highly significant tragedy. If psi exists, why the extreme failure?