Solar Activity Watch 2011

reply to post by harryhaller


thank you for those links,

can anyone tell me why these two images, 24 hr apart look so different? one with the vector lines moving outward, the other inward,


[atsimg]http://files.abovetopsecret.com/images/member/ea720b1df351.jpg[/atsimg]


?!?


[atsimg]http://files.abovetopsecret.com/images/member/6d8ec9230755.jpg[/atsimg]


is there a thread for this already?

Solar Activity As On Thursday, Jan. 6, 2011

For Future References:

Solar wind
speed: 341.3 km/sec
density: 6.1 protons/cm3
explanation | more data
-------------------------------
X-ray Solar Flares
6-hr max: A9 1300 UT Jan06
24-hr: B1 0000 UT Jan06
-------------------------------
Sunspot number: 50
-------------------------------
Spotless Days
Current Stretch: 0 days
2011 total: 0 days (0%)
2010 total: 51 days (14%)
2009 total: 260 days (71%)
Since 2004: 819 days
Typical Solar Min: 486 days
Updated 05 Jan 2011

The Radio Sun
10.7 cm flux: 88 sfu
--------------------------
Planetary K-index
Now: Kp= 0 quiet
24-hr max: Kp= 1 quiet
explanation | more data
Interplanetary Mag. Field
Btotal: 5.0 nT
Bz: 0.8 nT north
--------------------------
Extra Notes;
AURORA WATCH: NOAA forecasters estimate a 20%-25% chance of geomagnetic storms on Jan. 7-8 when a solar wind stream is expected to hit Earth's magnetic field. High-latitude sky watchers should be alert for auroras.

Source: www.spaceweather.com...

reply to post by pryingopen3rdeye


Wow...that is weird...im not really a expert on our magnetosphere...ill leave the others to answer you.

Plasma density is literally off the charts at the moment.

www2.nict.go.jp...

and Bz is south again which means we should be experiencing some effects. Nothing on the spaceweather warning center though:

www.swpc.noaa.gov...

reply to post by quakewatcher


So as the pressure! should we make a thread on this?

reply to post by jpsdasnake


Man I wish I could interpret all of these graphs. Looks like speed is still going up and a lot of the indicators are off the charts. From theweatherspace

Forecasters predicted a solar storm arriving at the planet on January 7th or 8th. The storm has arrived.

The pressure sensors have gone up and the geomagnetic field is reacting to a storm level event.

Webcams in the north are showing bright auroras as these charged particles come into the geomagnetic poles. Even cameras in Iceland near the Katla Volcano show a bright display of the event. Click here for that camera

Skywatchers across the mid-upper areas of the planet should be on the alert to see the event.

The Kp Index is a 1, the lowest value measuring the geomagnetic field levels, however it updates every three hours and it is expected to be a storm level Kp=5 or above.

Anybody care to interpret or should a new thread be started?

reply to post by robile


No need for a new thread... its a magnetic storm like many others... the Kp level is low right now but it will definally get higher on the hours to come...there is a similar thread on the subject here(go to page 14 and you will see my post about it):
www.abovetopsecret.com...

NOAA finally got around to posting a warning (I've been expecting one all afternoon, I think they were waiting until I left the house:

www.swpc.noaa.gov...

Active for about the next 18 hours.

reply to post by quakewatcher


yes,i saw that earlyer,i think i posted it on the magnetic pole shift thread,its one of my one million posts on that thread.

reply to post by DontTreadOnMe


Sky and Telescope Magazine giving us all a heads up on Solar Superstorm
in their February 2011 issue.
Apparently, we have a few options to save our electrical power grid.
They cover the September 2, 1859 solar flare direct hit that fried the telegraph lines all over
the world.
--------------------------------
The best option: Keep an eagle eye on the sun.
If a direct hit comes our way, shut down EVERYTHING !
Make the USA go completely dark BEFORE it actually hits the Earth.
That will save the transformers from exploding.
When the solar storm clears hopefully in a day or so then turn everything back on.
----------------------------------------
If we leave everything turned on, then the transformers will fry and we won't recover for years.

Spaceweather is showing the Solar wind speed: 643.5 km/sec, this seems double the speed I'm used to seeing....

spaceweather

reply to post by LDragonFire


it is...solar activity is high...
NOAA estimates 30% chance of active magnetic storms at high latitudes.

Solar Activity As On Tuesday, Jan. 11, 2011

For Future References:

Solar wind
speed: 452.1 km/sec
density: 3.2 protons/cm3
Updated: Today at 1716 UT
--------------------------------------
X-ray Solar Flares
6-hr max: B1 1121 UT Jan11
24-hr: B1 0615 UT Jan11
Updated: Today at: 1700 UT
--------------------------------------
Sunspot number: 35
Updated 10 Jan 2011
--------------------------------------
Spotless Days
Current Stretch: 0 days
2011 total: 0 days (0%)
2010 total: 51 days (14%)
2009 total: 260 days (71%)
Since 2004: 819 days
Typical Solar Min: 486 days
Updated 10 Jan 2011
---------------------------------------
The Radio Sun
10.7 cm flux: 83 sfu
Updated 10 Jan 2011
---------------------------------------
Planetary K-index
Now: Kp= 2 quiet
24-hr max: Kp= 2 quiet
---------------------------------------
Interplanetary Mag. Field
Btotal: 4.8 nT
Bz: 2.4 nT south
Updated: Today at 1717 UT

Notes:
SPACE STATION FLYBY ALERT: The International Space Station is making a series of bright passes over North America this week. Sky watchers in the United States and Canada should be alert for evening flybys of the behemoth spacecraft. Check the Simple Satellite Tracker or consult your cell phone for flyby times.

Source: www.spaceweather.com...

Thought I would share this....kinda makes ya scratch your head a bit, eh?

[atsimg]http://files.abovetopsecret.com/images/member/51b35bb19503.jpg[/atsimg]

sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov...

sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov...

and by the way, I did not see this site listed, so if it was posted already, my apologies, but it is one of my favorites, especially beacuse of the Solar Ticker and the tracking gauges right at the top:

www.solarcycle24.com...

reply to post by pryingopen3rdeye

Sorry for the delay in answering. Even more apologies for my answer, i'm very much a layman.

Very simply, the red and green lines represent magnetic fields, like you did with iron filings and a magnet? Ideally they would surround the earth like a circular cage, relatively equal in every direction.

But they aren't, simply because of a solar "magnetic wind" that the sun creates. That wind overpowers our own planetary magnetic field as a pressure, which is then measured and displayed in the graphics you posted. The sun would be on the left, blowing screen right.

The actual effects on earth are difficult to quantify, on a day-to-day basis it's imperceptable, but many think (including me) that they do have effects on humans and wildlife, not to mention all manner of radio communications and electronics.

www2.nict.go.jp...

what a cool thread thank you all for your posting of the links now i can come here and see what the sun is up too for the day/ week, and compare it to previous sun activity.

reply to post by lasertaglover

That is the ultimate in freaky.

Dig on the NASA site.
Search C2 Images, 512kb Todays Date. 4.12am

The above image is on their server.

Here

It is not a fake.

reply to post by aoi3610



Spaceweather.com shows it as a C1 today

I am definately NOT an expert on the SUN like the lads at NASA.

That is an ODD image.

Co-incidence. Of course it's a possibility.

Not if you read my 1100 post thread.

Well, perhaps not, anyway.

I generally prefer the use of scientific data and terminology when looking at solar events. Understanding more about CME's, Spots, and Solar Storms is why I started the thread last year and applaud the continuation of it this year.

BUT, yeah. That picture above was very freaky. Looks like a face and arms extended coming out one side, and legs coming out the other. So, please forgive my unusual lack of trying to use the correct jargon here, and yep...it's just plain freaky!