Solar Activity Watch 2011

reply to post by antar


As Phage stated an M flare is not very strong. I just wanted to wish you well and let you know I am hoping for a quick recovery for your daughter.

reply to post by crazydaisy
I would agree with that,.
But what is beginning to concern me is how the activity is holding strong..
We will see in a few days

That new area coming over the Sun should be very interesting to watch.

Updated at: 2011 Feb 24 2200 UTC
FLARE 0-24 hr 24-48 hr
CLASS M 40 % 40 %
CLASS X 05 % 05 %

spaceweather.com...

reply to post by lasertaglover


It should be interesting - I see they have increased the percentages.

The new region has a name...er...number.
Ladies and gentlemen, 1163:
[atsimg]http://files.abovetopsecret.com/images/member/8f71a5817c0b.png[/atsimg]

reply to post by Phage


Sweet pic! Looks big, and with a Beta field.

roduct: Solar Region Summary
:Issued: 2011 Feb 25 0120 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Region Summary
::::::::::Corrected Copy::::::::::
SRS Number 56 Issued at 0030Z on 25 Feb 2011
Report compiled from data received at SWO on 24 Feb
I. Regions with Sunspots. Locations Valid at 24/2400Z
Nmbr Location Lo Area Z LL NN Mag Type
1161 N11W87 334 0060 Hax 09 01 Alpha
1163 N18E72 176 0200 Cro 01 02 Beta
IA. H-alpha Plages without Spots. Locations Valid at 24/2400Z Feb
Nmbr Location Lo
1160 N16W80 331
1162 N17W89 338
II. Regions Due to Return 25 Feb to 27 Feb
Nmbr Lat Lo
None

www.swpc.noaa.gov...

Alrighty, now we might see some more Solar action! 1163 now has a beta-gamma filed.

roduct: Solar Region Summary
:Issued: 2011 Feb 26 0030 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Region Summary
SRS Number 57 Issued at 0030Z on 26 Feb 2011
Report compiled from data received at SWO on 25 Feb
I. Regions with Sunspots. Locations Valid at 25/2400Z
Nmbr Location Lo Area Z LL NN Mag Type
1163 N17E60 177 0120 Dai 08 10 Beta-Gamma
1164 N28E76 162 0250 Hkx 04 01 Alpha
IA. H-alpha Plages without Spots. Locations Valid at 25/2400Z Feb
Nmbr Location Lo
None
II. Regions Due to Return 26 Feb to 28 Feb
Nmbr Lat Lo
None

www.swpc.noaa.gov...

reply to post by lasertaglover


SDO catches spectacular Monster Prominence!


It amazes me how they zoom in so close.

reply to post by Eurisko2012


It is amazing how close they can get, and thank you show much for posting that! That is just way, way too cool to watch!

Star

reply to post by Eurisko2012


Wow....I take it that wasn't earth directed??

reply to post by westcoast


It was not on the earth-facing side yet when it went off.

Here is the Spaceweather archive link from the 24th with more information:

spaceweather.com...

Originally posted by lasertaglover
reply to post by Eurisko2012

 

It is amazing how close they can get, and thank you show much for posting that! That is just way, way too cool to watch!

Star

edit on 26-2-2011 by lasertaglover because: (no reason given)

I call that Gods - eye candy -!
The SDO is worth every single penny it cost to put it up there.


-----------------------------------------------------------------------------

I went directly to SDO page and downloaded the whole clip.
Now i can look at this Monster Prominence offline.
SDO - Monster Prominence

reply to post by Eurisko2012


I just downloaded it myself and have it looped right now. SDO is simply fantastic! And the intense power of the sun is stunning!!

Solarcycle 24 is reporting a M 1.1:

Solar Update - The flare activity continues on Monday around Sunspot 1164 with multiple C-Class flares and an M1.1 Flare at 12:52 UTC. Continue to monitor this region for further activity.
www.solarcycle24.com...

Space Weather has not updated the chances for a flare since yesterday, so they are showing:

Updated at: 2011 Feb 27 2200 UTC
FLARE 0-24 hr 24-48 hr
CLASS M 35 % 35 %
CLASS X 01 % 01 %
spaceweather.com...

and today's update is still showing that 1164 has a Beta-Gamma field:

roduct: Solar Region Summary
:Issued: 2011 Feb 28 0030 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Region Summary
SRS Number 59 Issued at 0030Z on 28 Feb 2011
Report compiled from data received at SWO on 27 Feb
I. Regions with Sunspots. Locations Valid at 27/2400Z
Nmbr Location Lo Area Z LL NN Mag Type
1163 N18E32 179 0010 Axx 01 01 Alpha
1164 N27E46 165 0170 Eso 14 12 Beta-Gamma
1165 S21E29 181 0010 Axx 01 01 Alpha
IA. H-alpha Plages without Spots. Locations Valid at 27/2400Z Feb
Nmbr Location Lo
None
II. Regions Due to Return 28 Feb to 02 Mar
Nmbr Lat Lo
1157 N19 083
www.swpc.noaa.gov...

So, nothing major going on, but definitely still worth keeping an eye on everthing!

Hope everyone has a great day! (Go make someone smile somewhere!)

There is a Comet "Elenin" heading our way and is going to line up in the second week of march with the earth and the sun. This Comet has already been linked to earth quakes back in it's last alignment. Check out the link and let me know what you think, I have a feeling that this is going to be a sort of trifecta of planatary goodness.....but I guess that all depends on who your voting for

www.youtube.com...

Looking forward to an postulations and theories....however, I am begging to think theories are news of bygone days.

Neil

Well i will pose the same question as when nasa did the live cam feed on comet temple 1, did the solar wind from the "flare" cause enough of a disturbance to change temple 1 trajectory,, ?? i never did get an answer, scientifically backed by the RAW data they were collecting at the time the "wave" hit,,,,, so will Comet Enlin? trajectory change if there is a powerfull enoungh , blow from the Sun? don't know nobody has replied.

We're currently having a magnetic storm SOURCE

Planetary K-index
Now: Kp= 5 storm
24-hr max: Kp= 5 storm

MAGNETIC STORM IN PROGRESS: A solar wind stream hit Earth's magnetic field during the early hours of March 1st, sparking a G1-class geomagnetic sttorm, in progress. High latitude sky watchers should be alert for auroras.

Also if you're interested, here is the current auroral oval over North America (you can see other locations if you go to the SOURCE linked above and go to the image on the lower left of the page).
[atsimg]http://files.abovetopsecret.com/images/member/3b4914714765.gif[/atsimg]

And here is an image of the magnetosphere (simulation) as of 8am PST
[atsimg]http://files.abovetopsecret.com/images/member/ea04f81f3b8a.jpg[/atsimg]

I know we were expecting some solar wind around March 3 & I think someone mentioned an M1 flare earlier (?), but I wasn't expecting a magnetic storm today. Wow.

Great job catching catching that! I had no idea anything was inbound. We are always lucky when it is only a G-1.

For those that don't know the different categories, here is a link to the definitions of the NOAA Scales.

www.swpc.noaa.gov...

[atsimg]http://files.abovetopsecret.com/images/member/83306f915560.jpg[/atsimg]



Auroras alert - keep your eyes to the sky. This one is Alaska!