posted on Dec, 28 2010 @ 06:34 AM
The information presented is not enough to draw any kind of conclusion. The CGI capabilities of the average hobbyist are of a scale, today, that
hobbyists ten, fifteen years ago could not have imagined.
Honestly, China lacks the ability to create such a fighter. If these pictures are legit, and of a Chinese plane, that means they have some industrial
partners. Namely, China lacks the experience in composites and jet engine production to make such an airplane. Their J-10 - is built with an import
engine because of their lack of capability.
They are also behind the curve in avionics - so they may be producing a current-generation airframe with 3rd or 4th generation avionics, unless they
are doing a lot of partnering.
In any case - such an aircraft would be in the design and testing phase and likely nowhere near production. That, however, presumes it is intended to
be part of the regular arsenal and not part of special warfare programs (such as the F-117 - production for that was fewer than 60 airframes; never
intended to be part of the regular arsenal). If it is intended to be part of the regular arsenal - it won't hit serviceable numbers for a few years
after it first reaches production. Given it's pretty much 2011 right now, and the wikipedia article mentions 2018 - it's more than reasonable to
presume there are a few years of development left on this airframe.
If it is, however, intended as a special warfare airframe - we could be looking at it hitting its service numbers much earlier, as such airframes are
often a use-as-you-develop sort of deal.
As for credibility being given to these things because they get "zapped by censors" - it can be difficult to determine what brought down a picture
or site. I could post a picture on a site and take it down, then say I was forced to take it down by the censor-brigade. This is especially true in
a climate where the lack of evidence tends to be used as evidence (the conspiracy and UFO community).
So - we really have to wait and see.
If we had more sources on other activity (whereabouts of different field experts and individuals previously affiliated with Chinese aircraft
development, some better information about some of the goings-on at Chinese aircraft manufacturers, etc), then we could probably get a little bit
better of an idea of whether or not China was developing such an aircraft (though that wouldn't really mean the picture was real, even if China was
developing such a craft - just as all of the "F-19" models were incorrect regarding the F-117).
I'd just sit back and see what happens.