Quake Watch 2011

I hope I'm wrong but I've strongly felt that the planets got another devastating BIG one to deliver, before the end of the year.

Around an 8 I'm feeling...

If nothing even close happens this month, then no more sharing my 'feelings' on the thread

Here's what I posted on the page before but in EQ3D.

The ring of fire is quite unsettled.

Is 5.2 the new 5.0?

5.2 Near The East Coast Of Honshu, Japan 2011-12-05 01:01:11 36.169 141.758 10
5.2 Eastern New Guinea Region, Papua New Guinea 2011-12-05 00:14:06 -6.234 146.571 85
5.2 Seram, Indonesia 2011-12-04 21:45:27 -3.968 127.713 182
5.4 Papua, Indonesia 2011-12-04 18:53:03 -5.449 140.295 42
5.2 Near The East Coast Of The Kamchatka Peninsula, Russia 2011-12-04 15:55:28 56.248 163.202 26
5.2 Baja California Sur, Mexico 2011-12-04 15:35:37 25.991 -111.813 10
5.2 Northern Mid-Atlantic Ridge 2011-12-04 10:23:54 19.815 -45.734 10
5.6 East Of Barbuda, Leeward Islands 2011-12-03 09:27:11 17.940 -59.829 10
5.3 Cook Strait, New Zealand 2011-12-03 06:19:07 -41.552 174.617 59

na I just set the slider to 5.2
earthquake.usgs.gov...

according to NEIC and Geonet there have been 326 magnitude 5.2's in 2011
5.2 map

and
237 magnitude 5.3's
5.3map

interesting exercise to kill an hour, pretty pointless doing them all from 5.0 to 5.9 or higher at this stage with 27 days to go to the end of the year though


oh OK 6.0 - 6.9
NEIC only, 178, theres actually another 4 x 6's for NZ, that NEIC eithe didn't pick up or they downgraded below 6, thats where it gets messy, at the .0's and .9's
6-6.9map

I expected there to be lots of 5.9's due the tendency of USGS to downgrade 6's but in fact there were only 64

reply to post by muzzy


Suggest you set it to around 7 then you can take a REST for a while!

Ummm...

reply to post by SpaceJockey1


ya think no more 7's for 2011 eh?

I'm picking for 1 more in the 27 days left, at Vanuatu, it has been quiet there lately

Originally posted by muzzy
reply to post by SpaceJockey1

 

ya think no more 7's for 2011 eh?

I'm picking for 1 more in the 27 days left, at Vanuatu, it has been quiet there lately

edit on 4-12-2011 by muzzy because: (no reason given)

I agree just look at the volcano forum. that would be my guess.. www.abovetopsecret.com...

reply to post by muzzy


Actually I'm expecting something BIG before the year's out, but if you leave your slider at 7 at least you'll get a bit of a rest from all this monitoring you are doing

reply to post by murkraz


That's why it's called the Ring of Fire!!

Unsettled? Not really.. think it's been quiet of late.. no biggies. I'm with Muzzy - a high 6 or 7 for Vanuatu region overdue!

Originally posted by SpaceJockey1
I hope I'm wrong but I've strongly felt that the planets got another devastating BIG one to deliver, before the end of the year.

Around an 8 I'm feeling...

If nothing even close happens this month, then no more sharing my 'feelings' on the thread

New Zealand appears to be the new spawning ground for earthquake predictors

reply to post by MoorfNZ


yeah, even this guy...

www.quakeprediction.com...

New Zealand Earthquake Risk: (December 5)
99% risk in Nelson
98% risk in Bay of Plenty
95% risk in Manawatu-Wanganui
94% risk in Waikato
94% risk in Hawke's Bay

Originally posted by berkeleygal
reply to post by MoorfNZ

 

yeah, even this guy...

www.quakeprediction.com...

New Zealand Earthquake Risk: (December 5)
99% risk in Nelson
98% risk in Bay of Plenty
95% risk in Manawatu-Wanganui
94% risk in Waikato
94% risk in Hawke's Bay

LMAO ... most of our country is at a high risk of quakes EVERY DAY! We have 10's of thousands a year.... with so many predicting different dates and mags one is bound to be right every so often

Guatemala

This event has been reviewed by a seismologist.

Magnitude
4.2
Date-Time
Monday, December 05, 2011 at 07:35:03 UTC
Monday, December 05, 2011 at 01:35:03 AM at epicenter
Time of Earthquake in other Time Zones
Location
14.133°N, 90.911°W
Depth
72.3 km (44.9 miles)
Region
GUATEMALA
Distances
23 km (14 miles) SW of Escuintla, Guatemala
68 km (42 miles) SW of GUATEMALA, Guatemala
101 km (62 miles) SE of Quetzaltenango, Guatemala
1057 km (656 miles) ESE of MEXICO CITY, D.F., Mexico

reply to post by berkeleygal


I couldn't get that link to open, but it would be interesting to see what happens, is that UTC or NZDT Dec 5?

one thing for sure as the sun will rise, there will be a 100% chance of an earthquake in New Zealand on the 5th.
I've been monitoring NZ quakes since 2007 and can recall only ONCE there were no quakes in the preliminary download that day. A few weeks later a few did trickle in for that date.
It seems the way Geonet is set up the North Island ones come in quickly and the Fiordland ones take a while, often getting listed at the end of the day, sometimes not until days later.
Interesting in that list Canterbury is missing, yet they are still twitching with 2's every day there.

33 quakes across the country in todays 4th UTC (thats up till noon 5th NZDT) preliminary data, everything is as normal as it can be

interesting one
MAG, REF, LAT, LONG, UTC, DEPTH, LOCATION,
1.588, 3621786, -36.85426, 174.43855, 2011/12/4 22:41:29, 9.2, Kirikiri Bay, Muriwai 0881

Auckland , drat there's that 1% chance no one predicted.

reply to post by muzzy

did anyone who looked at those maps notice the recent Cook Strait "5.3" (USGS 7 days list quotation) was actually on the 5.2 Map

either they aren't co-ordinating between who does the lists and who writes the KML for Google Earth
or
they already plan to downgrade it (after the 7 days are up ???)

They have a chart to make!

"Small magnitude tremor rattles homes in Cornwall region
Posted on December 4, 2011 by The Extinction Protocol
December 4, 2011 – UNITED KINGDOM- An earthquake has hit the Bodmin area of Cornwall overnight. According to reports from the British Geological Survey, the 2.2-magnitude tremor hit at 02:40 GMT and lasted for a few seconds. The quake could have been felt as far as St Austell, Liskeard and Padstow, but there were no reports of damage. Sue Dibble, from St Tudy, said: “It was very loud, like a whooshing and the house and bed were shaking. I thought I’d imagined it.” Between 20 to 30 earthquakes are felt by people each year in the UK, but most of these are very small and cause no damage, the society said. The largest known British earthquake occurred 60 miles offshore near the Dogger Bank in 1931, with a magnitude of 6.1. It was still powerful enough to cause minor damage to buildings on the east coast of England. -BBC"


theextinctionprotocol.wordpress.com...

Rainbows
Jane

reply to post by muzzy


Maybe you could not get the link to open because of this....



Perhaps your AV/Malware/Firewall settings are protecting you.

BTW: Papua downgraded from 6.4 to 6.1 the second it hit the 8 day listing. No link for it as it is in limbo land for an hour or two.

2011/11/28 12:26:44 5.55S 153.70E 21 6.1 NEW IRELAND REGION, PAPUA NEW GUINEA.

neic.usgs.gov...

Interestingly EMSC has always had it as a 6.1

ECUADOR: 5.7 upgraded to 6.0

EMSC had this as 5.9 from the start.

Originally posted by SpaceJockey1
I hope I'm wrong but I've strongly felt that the planets got another devastating BIG one to deliver, before the end of the year.

Around an 8 I'm feeling...

Well another one over 7 is due anyway...

And in recent years we had big ones around the end of the year...

reply to post by Vitchilo


Figures for December Mag 7+

2010 2
2007 2
2006 1
2004 3
2003 1
2001 1
2000 1
1999 1
1997 2
1995 2
1994 1
1992 2
1991 2
1983 2
1981 1

Interesting big gap 1984 to 1990

Yellowstone is experiencing a mini-swarm at the moment. Over the last few weeks, there's been a steady increase in noise by Hebgen Lake and near YMR. This morning it is even more apparent. Nothing to worry about I suppose. It's just been so quiet, and now it's not.

quake.utah.edu...