Don't forget India, they are rapidly rising. Plus if Japan rearms, which looks real likely, it would be able to field a military almost comparable to the US.
The world is far more interconnected and interdependent than the world prior to WW2. The countries to keep an eye on are the ones that don't depend on anyone and the one's that need resources badly.
China's growth is unsustainable without resources. They need raw materials and energy badly.
Russia has plenty of resources and doesn't depend on anyone. Its being depopulated though due to lack of immigration and a negative birthrate.
Japan is desperate for resources and also suffers negative population growth.
Canada has plenty of resources and doesn't need anyone.
Europe badly needs energy, but has raw materials.
The US has plenty of resources, but prefers to use others before tapping any of its own.
In the next ten to fifteen years, one of the resource deprived, probably Japan, is going to take resources, probably from Russia. Then we will have a huge mess. Whoever the US sides with will probably win.
Your right though about the number of world wars. The number is at least 5 and possibly high as 7.
edit on 16/2/11 by MikeboydUS because: (no
reason given)
