China and Russia Quit Dollar , page 10


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reply posted on 25-11-2010 @ 01:39 PM by SarK0Y
reply to post by Lazrmau5



But isn't the US dollar still worth more than both of those countries currency's?

dollar has had nice weight while it's used by everyone, but if the World trading begins to drop it away from bargains-- holy buckie becomes Nothing, but colored shred of paper useless even to wipe own bottom dollar clans desperately desire to run the Wheell of new war, but it's no so easy to realize: pentagon, cia.. are saturated with idiots & sleepers + home front is far not stable in many other aspects. in short, they have no a least Idea what to do


reply posted on 25-11-2010 @ 05:43 PM by Lazrmau5
reply to post by SarK0Y



Good info its like ive said on another thread stop trying to buy gold and start buying food, ammo, water, and have good shelter because in a global meltdown that's gonna be the new goods worth buying/trading.


reply posted on 25-11-2010 @ 11:53 PM by gnosticquasar
reply to post by Kombatt98



Works for me. Devaluation of the dollar means that we don't have the money to keep our overseas military bases open, so we can finally bring our troops back home and worry about our own soil for a change. It means that our farmers won't have the money to grow, so we won't be exporting as much food. It also means that our companies will see that doing business will be cheaper back home and bring the manufacturing jobs back to the States.

The U.S. has the infrastructure to go back to a manufacturing and agricultural based economy very quickly. It'll be horrible at first, but human beings are good at adaptation.


reply posted on 26-11-2010 @ 09:19 AM by Winfieldgirl
reply to post by hawkiye


Relax, ultimately what will happen will happen... no use getting worked up over the inevitable.



reply posted on 28-11-2010 @ 09:26 PM by mbkennel
So if Russia and China use the Ruble and Yuan for their own bilateral trade that means what?

It's like, say UK and France using the Pound and Euro for their bilateral trade. Nobody needs to make an announcement about this.

What matters of course is the exchange rate for the trade. When Russia & China trade RUB/CNY what rate do they use?

Because of arbitrage, this has to be RUB/USD (floating) / CNY/USD (held fixed by Chinese mercantilist policy). (If it weren't you could just make money doing round trip money transfers).

So, what happens if Russia & China use the RUB/CNY for trade? Does this reduce the necessity for USD reserves?

No. Thanks to the peg of CNY/USD instigated by the Chinese, importers and exporters in Russia & China are STILL exposed to the global value of the USD (via the floating RUB/USD) and the risk of policy changes in CNY/USD by the Chinese central bank.

So this announcement seems to be meaningless propaganda. Economically, as long as China wants to peg its currency to the USD in order to harm US manufacturing, it has to take all the rest of the consequences.

As far as "threatning to dump the dollar"---- that is what the US Secretary of the Treasury & the Chairman of the US Federal Reserve have asked the Chinese to do! They want China to loosen the peg and let the USD devalue against CNY just as it should. "Dumping the dollar" is the scare version of it.

This supposed weapon of China to dump US Treasuries violently is like a suicide-vest-made-for-two.

China cannot destroy US manufacturing by pegging to the dollar AND dump its dollar reserves.

If China dumps treasuries and doesn't let the CNY go up (overall) then what happens? It would have to buy something with the dollars it is getting from dumping treasuries, and the only open-market big enough is the euro. So then it makes EUR/USD go up, and the europeans become the targets of Chinese mercantilism.

China actually getting off the dollar and letting the CNY float would be the best thing in the long run for the USA, even if it would have a negative short term effect as interest rates make a one-off jump. Chinese imports would be more expensive (meaning Wal-Mart inflation goes up) but companies would no longer assume that moving to China is guaranteed to make them money. This will help US industrial sector, at the expense of the US financial sector. That's not necessarily a bad thing.
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