I find Roguetechie's comments to be the most accurate. 80% is a high mortality figure which might apply to city dwellers who will be entirely
dependent upon the system and authorities for subsistence.Of course you look at what happened in Leningrad while under siege from the Germans in WW2
somehow people survived for almost 2 years with almost no supplies coming in. But then again people were far more resourceful than they are now.
If you can't get out you will be at their mercy more or less unless you have made preparations that allow you to bug in for weeks, perhaps months at
Travel will be hazardous whether by road or woods. The worst trouble and highest periods of danger will be at night.
This is critical and those
with night vision will be able to travel without being seen or defend their home with a good chance of success if they have it. It's not cheap but in
my mind you will be severely limited without it.
There will be strength in numbers. No single person can keep watch 24/7 - you have to sleep sometime.
Being unseen and avoiding confrontation will be the best way to survive. Getting involved in firefights is a last resort - you can expend a great
amount of ammo in a very short period of time.
For weapons platforms I would recommend for handguns 9mm, .40 or .45 cal. Ammo is common and has enough knock down power for self-defense. For rifles
.223, 7.62x39 or 7.62x54 or .308 are probably your best bets. Shotguns in 12 ga are probably your best weapon but you are severely limited in how many
shells you can carry in a bug out situation.
If you have to bug out and there is more than just yourself in the group someone should carry a .22 caliber rifle (ruger 10/22 or similar) to snag any
small game that presents itself.
Trapping will be your best method of acquiring meat, it's silent and effective. Any shooting will attract attention and should be done again as a last
Bugging out will also probably require making NO fires. Smoke and light will make you visible to others you may not want seeing you.
Spare parts for your firearms is great idea for long-term survival; firing pins, extractors, clip springs will often fail and render your gun useless
unless you can find replacement parts.
I've been listening to Yankeepreppers Preparing and survival in the city
videos while typing this and he has some very good ideas. Give them a
Read Roguetechie's post above, he knows what he's talking about.
edit on 4-11-2010 by Asktheanimals because: added comments