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The United States’ National Intelligence Council (NIC) and the European Union’s Institute for
Security Studies (EUISS) have joined forces to produce this assessment of the long-term prospects
for global governance frameworks. This exercise builds on the experience of the two institutions in
identifying the key trends shaping the future international system. Since the mid 1990s, the NIC has
produced four editions of its landmark Global Trends report. The most recent one, Global Trends
2025: A Transformed World, published in late 2008, noted that momentous change was ahead, with
the gap between increasing disorder and weakening governance structures widening. The EUISS
produced the first EU-level report on the factors affecting the evolution of the international system
in 2006, The New Global Puzzle. What World for the EU in 2025? The report stressed that a
multipolar system is emerging and that matching the new distribution of power with new rules and
institutions will be critical to preserving international peace and stability.
"Prudence, indeed, will dictate that governments long established should not be changed for light and transient causes; and accordingly all experience hath shown that mankind are more disposed to suffer, while evils are sufferable, than to right themselves by abolishing the forms to which they are accustomed. But when a long train of abuses and usurpations, pursuing invariably the same object evinces a design to reduce them under absolute despotism, it is their right, it is their duty, to throw off such government, and to provide new guards for their future security."