reply to post by VreemdeVlieendeVoorwep
got a theory, share it
I'll give you two:
Given any distibution of possible events, there is a given likelihood of a any particular event occuring. That is measureable. For example, if a
lottery from a million possible numbers is drawn, the likilihood that any particular number will come up is one in a million. If you buy a million
tickets, one for each number, you're gaurunteed to win. If a million different people each buy a single ticket, and each with a different number,
somebody is gaurunteed to win.
Now consider the following scenario: There are four football games. In each game there are two teams. There are therefore 16 possible combinations of
wins/losses. If you make 16 sets of "guesses" as to the outcome, you can be gaurunteed that one of those sets of guesses will be correct. Right?
So...what happens if prior to the first game you mail a letter to 16 different people. In 8 of those letters you predict that one team will win, and
in the other eight you predict that the other team will win. Half of your guesses will be correct. Then, after the game is won, whichever team wins,
you then send a second letter to the eight people for whom your letter was correct, and of those, in four you predict that one team in the second game
will win, and in the other four you predict that the other team will win. Once again, half of your "predictions" will be correct. And if you keep this
up for the remaining two games, after the fourth letter is sent, from the perspective of the indiviudal who receives that letter, you will have
correctly predicted four games in a row.
Given enough guesses, it's basically inevitable that somebody
will be right. Similarly, given enough events, and given enough people to
experience them, it's basically inevitable that somebody is going to have really nice things happen to them.
"Luck" is a measure of the propotion of those events that happen to an individual.
In the letters scenario, one person received four out of four letters that were correct. From his perspective, that's four "lucky" guesses. But two
people received three out of four letters that were correct. Even with one incorrect guess, those people are still likely to perceive you as a pretty
good source for who's going to win the next game.
Applied to the real world, with six million people, it's extremely likely that there are some number of people who live out entire lifetimes of
everything going their way.
That's what luck is.
Simpler, though more cryptic explanation: If masculine and feminine forces are naturally (magnetically) attracted to each other, then it is the
natural state of the universe that desire would tend to be fulfilled. Getting what you want is as normal as a ball rolling down hill. The only thing
preventing it is blockage. A ball can't easily roll downa hill in there's a boulder in the way. Feminine energy can't easily flow to meet desire if
there are blockages.
So, "luck" is basically either a measure of the lack of blockage in one's nature, or a measure of the inverse of one's tendancy towards
edit on 21-9-2010 by LordBucket because: (no reason given)