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US assessment of terrorist threats poor, says panel

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posted on Sep, 17 2010 @ 11:35 AM
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US assessment of terrorist threats poor, says panel


www.newscienti st.com

Only "low confidence" should be placed in most of the risk analyses of terrorist threats conducted by the US Department of Homeland Security, concludes a review by a National Research Council panel.
...
However, it warns that different techniques are needed to assess the risks posed by terrorism. ...says panel chairman John Ahearne of Duke University in Durham, North Carolina. "Many terrorism risks are not quantifiable because of uncertainties arising from having an intelligent adversary."
(visit the link for the full news article)


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posted on Sep, 17 2010 @ 11:35 AM
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Well... welll ...

On the heals of another story (and excellent thread by wcitizen) decrying the failures of governments' "intelligence" as reported by the "London-based International Institute for Strategic Studies (IISS), the world’s leading think tank for military affairs. It represents the top echelon of defence [sic] experts, retired officers and senior military men, spanning the globe from the United States and Britain to China, Russia and India." we see yet another report (equally costly, no doubt) saying that DHS' performance in terrorist threat risk analysis...is lacking ... this time the assessment comes from the National Research Council right here in the US of A.


www.newscienti st.com
(visit the link for the full news article)


edit on 17-9-2010 by Maxmars because: logic error



posted on Sep, 17 2010 @ 12:17 PM
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And here is some more to consider when we discuss these 'assessments' and by whom they are made, their timing, and the relevance they have to our current government/corporate environment.

The National research Council draws its members from the National Academy of Science, the National Academy of Engineering, and the Institute of Medicine. (How they particularly are competent in National Security and intelligence is another question one might ask.... but I won't)

This report ( www.nap.edu... ) was commissioned (and paid for) by our DHS (the contract should be available for search under HSHQDC-08-C-00090; for those of you who want to see how much this 'study' cost the taxpayers.

A word about some the authors of this report. The chair; Dr. Ahearn, is a physicist associated with the National Academy of Engineering, although he now is a Director 'emeritus' of Sigma Xi, the Scientific Research Society. For those curious "Emeritus" is used in conjunction with a title to indicate a retired person with no official standing, but 'respected' for their prior position. His experience is said to be as a former chair of the Nuclear Regulatory Agency, and he also once held the title of Deputy Assistant Secretary of Energy a political appointee to the White House Energy Office.

Other members of the 'committee' responsible for this analysis hail from (or have been involved directly with) the University of Maryland, the University of Wisconsin-Madison, M.I.T., Exponent Consulting, Navigant Consulting, USGS, DHS (go figure!), Allstate Insurance, Countermeasures Assessment and Security (a company), BAE Systems, Clark University, the RAND corporation, Environ International, Carnegie Mellon University. University of Pittsburg, and Western Emergency Management Services,

Dry enough for you? It's a heck of a read... enjoy!



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