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There are a few different forces that will ultimately steer Earl. One is the high pressure building out in the Atlantic right now, in the wake of Danielle. That high is currently forcing the west-northwest turn of Earl, and will take it more to the northwest in the next day or so. The next force we need to watch is the high pressure over us right now. We think that high will break down later this week as a new front moves our way. When it happens, the new front will act as a wall blocking Earl from coming onshore - and it will eventually kick Earl back off to the northeast. Until that happens, Earl can't make the more northerly and then northeasterly turn it needs to take to stay over the water (and not make landfall in the U.S.).
Originally posted by Bijen
EARL is going to smash the Virgin Islands completly........ god help those people.....www.tropicalstormrisk.com...