Solar Activity Watch 2010

reply to post by jazz10

I beg your pardon? What exactly are you talking about? Solar activity started increasing quite a few months ago. As expected, as part of the solar cycle. There is nothing unusual about it. It is very mild activity.

You told us this:

Given what the suns capable of and what spaceweather had regarding 911 and how the active region facing earth on around that date. Given the anticipated activity and what has been said then I think odd are def on one side.

Maybe you can say "I told you so" about that but first maybe you should tell us what happened that was unusual.


Maybe I should be the one saying "I told you so", but I don't go in much for that. My "prediction" of two days ago was a bit more accurate than yours.
www.abovetopsecret.com...

Who said CMEs don't affect Earth?

Hmmm..the new area is still looking to have some more action:

Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
Updated 2010 Sep 22 2201 UTC

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 265 Issued at 2200Z on 22 Sep 2010

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 21/2100Z
to 22/2100Z: Solar activity was at very low levels. There were
numerous B-class events, most of which were produced by Region 1109
(N22E67). Region 1109 is a Dko group with a beta magnetic
configuration and has increased in size over the last 24 hours.
Region 1108 (S30W09) is now an Hhx alpha group.

IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be at
very low to low levels with a slight chance for M-class events for
the next three days (23-25 September).

IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 21/2100Z to 22/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field has been at quiet levels during the past 24
hours.

IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be unsettled to active on days one and two (23-24
September) due to a recurrent coronal hole high speed stream. Day
three (25 September) is expected to be mostly unsettled.

www.solarcycle24.com...

and more info from SpaceWeather.com as well:

High-latitude sky watchers should be alert for auroras. A solar wind stream is heading for Earth, and NOAA forecasters estimate a 40% chance of geomagnetic activitty when it arrives during the next 24-48 hours.

spaceweather.com...

Some fairly quiet days.

"Solar Update - Solar activity remained very low the past 24 hours with only B-Class activity taking place.

There will continue to be a chance for C-Class flares around Sunspot 1109."

From: www.solarcycle24.com...

Still quiet...so picture time and quote time:

Solar Update - Sunspot 1109 continues to show some growth and now has a Beta-Gamma magnetic configuration. There is a chance for C-Class flares and perhaps a lower risk of an M-Class event. Another small sunspot group is trying to form ahead of 1109's position and can be seen in the image below.

[atsimg]http://files.abovetopsecret.com/images/member/4c8b284ca59f.jpg[/atsimg]

www.solarcycle24.com...

Have a great day!

Sunspot 1110 did form ahead of active region 1109. 1109 is still trying to give us a C-class show during the next 24 hours or so, and the next solar wind stream should be here on the 29th. Both 1108 and 1110 are quiet.

spaceweather.com...

Have a great day!

cheers for the constant update's

reply to post by scoobyrob


Thank you very much!

I got brainwashed as a kid watching Thunder Cats, He-Man, and GI Joe, as at the end of those shows, they would always say, "And knowing is half the battle!"

Sunspot 1109 is still getting bigger and has the potential for a C-class (nothing to worry about folks) flare during the next day or so.

Check out this link for some really great images of 1109:

sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov...

Wow! Some solar news to report (not much really, but it is something):

SOLAR FLARE: This morning at 0948 UT, tiny sunspot 1110 unleashed a C1-class solar flare (SDO movie). The sunspot has started to grow and this event could herald a period of higher activity from the region.

spaceweather.com...

Gooooood Morning Sun!

Some cool stuff going on today! C-class flares, solar winds, and a new sunspot!

1) New sunspot coming around the corner numbered 1111, no news on it yet, but looking at the images of it, it is pretty small.

2) Here is an update about 1110 from SpaceWeather:
"CRACKLING SUNSPOT: During the past 24 hours, sunspot 1110 has increased in size more than 10-fold.
Although it is still small compared to behemoth sunspot 1109 right behind it, sunspot 1110 is much more active. Reconnection events in the sunspot's magnetic canopy have produced at least two C-class solar flares since yesterday (SDO movies: #1, #2). The eruptions were brief and did not hurl significant clouds of plasma toward Earth. If the sunspot continues to grow, however, future eruptions could become geoeffective."
spaceweather.com...

3) Here is an update about 1109 from SolarCycle24:
"As for 1109, it remains at large sunspot group but is now starting to lose size. There will continue to be a chance for C-Class solar flares."
www.solarcycle24.com...

4) And an update about the solar wind from SpaceWeather:
"SOLAR WIND: A ~500 km/s solar wind stream is buffeting Earth's magnetic field. Sky watchers around the Arctic Circle should be alert for Northern Lights."
spaceweather.com...

It's a great time to be moitnoring the sun right now!

Have a great day!

edit to add photo:
[atsimg]http://files.abovetopsecret.com/images/member/36420dbf625c.gif[/atsimg]

spaceweather.com...

Thanks for the info - seems a little more activity starting up again!

Thanks for the info - seems a little more activity starting up again!

reply to post by crazydaisy


It has been a little bit quiet lately, but the Sun is getting busier now.

Thank you.

So those active few days sure went away quickly. We still have three sunspots we are looking at (1109, 1110, and 1111), but not much else.

Have a great day!

Noticed something interesting. The solar wind has gotten gusty. Nothing extreme but the speed has taken on a choppy variation as has the density and temperature.

[atsimg]http://files.abovetopsecret.com/images/member/ec58324be80f.gif[/atsimg]

reply to post by Phage


Thanks for posting that.

Part of the point of this thread is to learn...so I am wondering what exactly does that mean. Is that normal? There was a CME on the farside of the Sun on the 1st, would that have any effect?

Definitely will appreciate your feedback!

"On October 1st a bright coronal mass ejection blasted away from the far side of the sun: SOHO movie. The source appears to be a magnetic active region that formed just a few days ago, invisible from Earth because it is so far over the sun's western limb."
spaceweather.com...

reply to post by lasertaglover

I haven't noticed it before. But the density is neglible and velocity is nothing to write home about. Bz and By are quite neutral.
I don't know what it means. Just sort of a, "hmm, lookitthat."
"Solar activity watch"

reply to post by Phage



Thanks for the info - also for including the graph.

reply to post by Phage


Well, that is an interesting 'lookatthat' for sure.

Thanks for the feedback.

Sunspot 1109 is about to leave us, rotating out towards the farside of the sun. 1111 is still hanging around, but that is about it.

Have a great day!