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That was the philosophy I followed to reply with the best of my abilities in this thread along years, a thread that was never about my predictions but in general on everybody forecasts on a well known issue.
There are No rigid claims in the opening of the thread to attack or "debunk".
Most people in the United States know just one fault line by name: the San Andreas, which runs nearly the length of California and is perpetually rumored to be on the verge of unleashing “the big one.” That rumor is misleading, no matter what the San Andreas ever does. Every fault line has an upper limit to its potency, determined by its length and width, and by how far it can slip. For the San Andreas, one of the most extensively studied and best understood fault lines in the world, that upper limit is roughly an 8.2—a powerful earthquake, but, because the Richter scale is logarithmic, only six per cent as strong as the 2011 event in Japan.
Knudsen said the quake was 8 miles deep into the Earth, explaining why the temblor was so widely felt. The USGS website said people reported feeling the quake about 40 miles south in San Jose.
"It was relatively deep for an earthquake on the Hayward Fault," Knudsen said.
The quake knocked items off the 24-hour Safeway's shelves in San Leandro.
#Earthquake took out some items at San Leandro Safeway pic.twitter.com/GiXiaputFi
— John De Motto (@johnDemotto) January 4, 2018
The earthquake began at 2:39 a.m. local time, located directly over the Claremont Hotel in Berkeley, which woke many residents of Berkeley and nearby cities. Residents across the San Francisco Bay area, as far south as San Jose, and as far north as Santa Rosa said they felt shaking. At this time, there are no significant reports of personal injury or structural damage and no threat of a tsunami.
The USGS classified the earthquake as moderate, occurring 8 miles into the earth, but warn there could well be small aftershocks in the coming days. They estimate that the probability of another strong earthquake striking the bay area is between 5% and 10%.
An estimated 9.8 million people felt a magnitude 4.4 earthquake that rumbled across the Bay Area early Thursday, the U.S. Geological Survey reported.
It was felt throughout the region, with people more than 150 miles away reporting to the agency that they felt the shaking for perhaps five to 10 seconds.
The epicenter of the earthquake is in the area of the Hayward fault, one of the most feared in the Bay Area, which could produce a magnitude 7 or greater earthquake and is directly underneath heavily populated areas.
The Hayward fault, along with the San Andreas fault on the San Francisco Peninsula, have long posed a twin seismic peril to the region. The San Andreas produced the devastating 1989 Loma Prieta quake and 1906 San Francisco quake.
The USGS initially registered the temblor as a 4.7 magnitude quake, downgrading it quickly to a 4.5 magnitude and later to a 4.4.
USGS Geologist David Schwartz said the quake struck in an area where there has been a number of jolts over the last decade.
USGS Deputy Director Keith Knudsen told reporters at an early morning news conference that there was a slight chance that the quake was a warning of a much larger shaker.
“Looking historically at all the earthquakes that have happened in California, about five percent of the time earthquakes are followed by larger earthquakes,” he said. “So there is a low probability but there is some probability.”
“It is centered on about a five-mile-long section of the Hayward Fault that in the past 10 years has produced 30 earthquakes of magnitude between 3-4,” he told KPIX 5. “So it is a hot spot along the fault and this morning’s earthquake was the largest of that group.”...
Knudsen said it wouldn’t be a big surprise if a major earthquake struck on the Hayward fault. “The last big earthquake occurred in 1868 so we are about at the 150-year anniversary,” said Knudsen.
“We know from geologic excavations on this fault that big quakes happen every 150 years.”
Angel of Lightness posted Sept. 30th 2017:
Now this weekend I have foresaw a third seismic event, that may even precede the other two already mentioned, ...
This earthquake possibly could be not stronger than the other two I expect for the Spring and Summer of 2018, but may arrive even sooner ..
The Angel of lightness, posted December 22nd, 9.30 am,
We are at the doors of a terrible natural disaster ... will arrive in the transition period between 2017 and 2018, ...
We could be experiencing a very look like scenario to the one lived in December 26th of 2004 in Sumatra and other areas of The Indian Ocean, or by Haiti on January 12th of 2010, ...
The arrival of a new year is usually a really bad moment for a nation to face unexpected disasters, since the atmosphere of holidays distract a lot the attention of the people of the possibility of to face a tragedy.
The Angel of Lightness posted at December 28th 2017, 9.45 pm Everything indicates that we are facing something huge that is going to strike America either in these last days of 2017 or the first ones of 2018, ...
I hope I have been enough clear into warn that this is not the moment to relax precautions and contingency plans.