A mathematical model for hoaxing?

The Trent photograph thread throws up an interesting thought. The police now , in Britain anyway, are using mathematical modelling to combat certain areas of crime. Such thing as "Geographical mapping" of serial killer's crimes and even now a model for sleeper cells within terrorism.

It strikes me that most hoaxers follow a certain path, a certain logic and that, if we were to study a number of them there is no reason a workable model for hoaxing can;t be arrived at? If nothing else, it would be a real feather in the ATS cap, if someone or some people could come up with a mathematically modelled frame work for spotting possible hoaxes?

With that in mind are there any on here, who work in that sort of field, or have access and understand the methodology of how to create such a model?

I'm talking about something which tracks behavioural patterns, rather than simply something that would be used to study specific evidence.

[edit on 9-7-2010 by FireMoon]

reply to post by FireMoon
Reality Uncovered's hoax guide is pretty good to get going with.

THanx for that, that's most interesting reading indeed.

Some are pretty obvious from the outset, but they are becoming increasingly sophisticated in how they become involved in the follow up.

No idea what hoax your talking about