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Originally posted by Unit541
Iran has had 10 years of in-house training on US weapons and tactics, and how to defeat them. Not to mention, Iran's leadership has more than a few points on the Iraqis in the IQ department.
Originally posted by Prof. Twister
4. The attack would make America even more suspect and hated in the whole Islamic world.
Originally posted by Gorman91
reply to post by gem_man
Yea that's not much. 1950 Soviet Russia got a rocket into space. It's not hard to do. It does not mean you have ballistic capabilities. It means you know calculus.
Missile launchers aren't worth much, considering you can track the tail smoke and pop a rock on it.
Iran's military is made up of antiquated equipment from the 80s. They've only now started developing T90-like tanks and a few interesting concepts, however nothing in mass production.
Iraq had the same stuff. And we beat them without advanced technology on foot. Now we do have advanced technology everywhere. Iran could not make it more than a week or three. There's simply nothing to stop a team of fighters from nailing down everything.
The entire army of Iraq was destroyed in a few days from bombers and fighter planes. What makes Iran any different? They have a few UAVs, but even they are not that advanced.
Point is simple. There's a good reason why Egypt, Iraq, and army others chose to side with America. They get to use out toys.
Also, Hezbollah is nearly destroyed and Syria has a UN force present in the country.
These are not armies to fight. The US China and Russia are all at least 20 years ahead of Iran. the US is a full half century ahead.
The question for the United States is: What will Iran do in the wake of an Israeli attack that Iran will almost certainly assume has U.S. support?
Speculation about Iran's retaliatory options has thus far focused on Iran closing the Straits of Hormuz, shutting the oil spigot and driving the price of oil far above current levels. Some also believe that Iran would increase its support of terrorist actions directly against the United States and Israel -- effectively declaring war on the West.
Yet Tehran's counter-punch would not have to be so bold to be effective and deadly.
A less discussed, but equally dangerous, option for Iran is to dramatically step up its support of insurgents in Iraq and Afghanistan. This response is far more likely and, consequently, more worrisome.
Col. David E. Johnson, Ph.D. (U.S. Army ret.) is a senior researcher at the RAND Corporation. He is the author of Fast Tanks and Heavy Bombers: Innovation in the U.S. Army, 1917-1945 and Learning Large Lessons: The Evolving Roles of Ground Power and Air Power in the Post-Cold War Era.
China gets its oil from US wars, so it can continue to grow and develop. This is probably unofficial debt payment for the US. The US does not want to go to war with China because that would be difficult and probably long and for nothing. China is no longer communist unofficially, so the US and China just want to do business and chilax. Russia is not interested in war as they have their own problems. They are more interested in economic deals with Europe, maybe Africa down the road.
Originally posted by Gorman91
reply to post by ErEhWoN
Feed the dragon and it all goes well.
Any biblical connection? who knows.
God help us if we run out of food.