There's a lot of talk of a war with Iran, how big it would be, how long, etc etc. To tell you the truth there are so many views to it and so many
ways to view it it's ridiculous. So I wanted to put up a few things to basically get the story straight of what a war would look like and what it
would be like, etc etc.
First point up, there will be NO third world war if a war with Iran breaks down.
The reason is simple. Iran does not matter that much.
The proof of this is in the wording. Iran recently threatened to cut talks with the P5+1.
Who are the P5+1?
The P5+1 are what we all here would call the New World Order. They are the permanent UN security council members, plus Germany (Germany essentially is
a permanent member but it's just a WW2 thing). They run the show, more or less. Russia, China, US, UK, France, Germany. Yep. It's what stops a
global nuclear war and what enables such a long term peace between the major powers of the world.
"If the five permanent members of the UN Security Council -- Russia, China, France, Britain and the US -- plus Germany (P5+1) tighten the UN Security
Council sanctions Resolution 1929, they should not expect Iran to continue talks," IRNA quoted Head of the Iranian Parliament (Majlis) National
Security and Foreign Policy Commission Alaeddin Boroujerdi as saying on Sunday
What this means is that while we all may like to think Russia or China care about Iran, they don't. The P5+1 were specifically targeted by Iran. Iran
would literally cut talks with Russia and China, along with the rest of the P5+1. Iran sees them all as one in the same.
Now looking at the past, Iran HAS discussed this matter with the P5+1. Iran wrote a letter to Germany, and apparantly tried to get nuclear technology
This IS odd why Iran specifically asked Germany. It seems, from the evidence at hand, that Iran is trying to act like pre-war Germany circa 1930.
Seemingly trying to ask for help in matters. Germany basically is like WTF? Because it is not 1930 anymore and is wondering why Iran wants to be like
Indeed, much of What Iran is doing seems to indicate its desire to be the New Nazi Germany.
Before we go on, let's get a few things straight about such a statement. What is good and bad about such a thing.
As Winston Churchill put it, the War was to stop German industry, not necessarily to stop Hitler or the third Reich, Reason for that is simple.
Germany abandoned the economic banking systems, which enabled such rapid growth.
Likewise, Iran is seemingly trying to reinvent this with new nationalism. Unfortunately, like Germany, they need a scapegoat, as evident by some of
those letters to Germany.
So just what does this mean? The Good is that Iran wants a very social nationalistic nation with powerful industry. The bad? they want a victim to
blame. Specifically Israel. And because Israel has become essentially a barbarian, indifferent to those they fight in morals and honor, Iran has a
pretty good case!
So that's what that means.
Back to what we were talking about, it is faulty to say we have not helped Iran to get to where we are. Indeed Iran has been operating on much of our
aid! To which sanctions threaten it.
Just as Henry Ford built Nazi Tanks, it seems we have helped build Iranian military power.
This is also evident by the large numbers of pre-1989 military hardware we've sold to them:
So you see, there is a host of talks going on, and have been for some time.
No one wants a war. Lets get that also straight. There is nothing to gain from a war in Iran.
In fact, The US would probably like it if Iran stayed as it is, with a new Government,
You see, Most Iranian oil does not go to the west, but rather, to the east:
What this means is simple. There is fair share for Oil to the east, as there is for the US from Iraq and Canada. Considering most Iraq oil goes to the
East and Europe as well, there's not that much to say for the US being Oil hungry.
So why would the US want Iran to stay where it is with a friendlier government? Because the last thing the US wants is an oil hungry China. If China
is fed, the US can enjoy itself without worrying about a complete break down of their own gas flow.
Indeed, it can be said that most of the US' actions is not to take oil for itself, but rather, to divide the conquered oil for the US and China.
The Three way relationship between the US Russia and China also prevents a world war from occurring.
China gets its oil from US wars, so it can continue to grow and develop. This is probably unofficial debt payment for the US. The US does not want to
go to war with China because that would be difficult and probably long and for nothing. China is no longer communist unofficially, so the US and China
just want to do business and chilax. Russia is not interested in war as they have their own problems. They are more interested in economic deals with
Europe, maybe Africa down the road.
So more or less, a war with Iran would result in a WW3 nuclear stand off. it would result in something like the first gulf war. And probably the US
would have to broker a deal between the new Iranian government and China, forfeiting most of the oil to ensure lasting peace.
A war would probably involve an invasion of the western portions of the Iranian Republic. Maybe a little bit of eastern strike. It would not be long.
maybe a week or two or three. doubtful if we would occupy. More than likely we would strike our targets and contain their army. We would not put many,
if any, foot soldiers on the ground.
Now, what does the Iranian army offer? As the link before shows, mainly old USSR and US military equipment. A few custom made jobs. Nothing
spectacular. It is essentially Iraq's pre-2003 army, plus a UAV or two.
What Iran wants is simple. It is positioned to be a world power, but the P5+1 do not want another world power. They want a nation that will stay put,
not disrupt, give them oil for their money and products, and shut up.
Call it nation building, call it global slavery, call it what you want. No one wants a major war and occupation.
Thus far evidence shows that Iran is try to act like 1930 Germany but does not have the ability to do so for economic reasons.
One COULD argue that Iran wants sanctions so it can be TREATED like pre ww2 Germany and respond the same way.
In the end, everyone needs to calm down about a global war and disaster.
The facts say otherwise. It's the P5+1 against Iran, and Iran doesn't even have the support of half its nation.
More than likely there will be some sort of conflict, but it will be short lived and see the current president and Imams ousted for a US puppet leader
who will have to hybridize Iranian right to rule with US relations.
One thing is for sure, this is not over oil. If it was, China would get involved against the US. Instead, the P5+1 have decided to share the oil