posted on Jun, 13 2010 @ 06:13 AM
Some points that relate to the topic I would like to bring up:
First, let's just view a few small details about the "cables". Let's start by assuming that they are all in Word format. The average size of
a Word document is around 3kb give or take depending on what source you reference. This places the total size of the zip files he mentions at around
780MB. Assuming compression is used, further drop that to let's say, 500MB. Not too bad.
However, they aren't in Word format. Well what about emails? Makes sense they would be emails. Average size of an email? Around 7kb on the
low end assuming it's all text and no pictures. That places us at 1.8GB uncompressed. After compression, estimating around 1.4GB. Possible,
but starting to look difficult to move that much information quickly and undetected.
However, they aren't in email format either. Why? Because he specifically mentions they are CSV, or comma separated values format. That means
something like Excel was used. That changes EVERYTHING. The average size of an Excel spreadsheet is around 11MB. That puts the total size of
the zip files at a whopping 286GB. Yeah you read that correctly. No amount of compression is going to make that small enough to transfer in any
form of disguise.
I will tell you something else based on my experience in the intel analyst world: Every state department cable has a header, and a footer, and a
certain format. That means they have a definite minimum size. It's going to be around 10kb even in basic Word format. That's all I can say
about that without violating an NDA.
What does that mean? Judge for yourself and feel free to come up with your own calculations there.
Second point I want to raise is that if indeed Wikileaks did possess these "cables", ask yourself this: If you were sitting on information that
was leaked and constitutes multiple SERIOUS violations of United States law punishable and enforceable, well in actuality we're talking about 260,000
possible offenses, would you in your right mind want to admit it? It's one thing to release a video, quite another to knowingly release
information like that.
There is more to the story that I would bring up, but unfortunately I'm not in a position to do so. Instead I will offer my opinion:
There are no "cables". Or if there are, it's a number alot smaller than 260,000. Like maybe 26. As for the rest of his story, all I can
say is there is truth in some of what he talks about, and other parts of it are plainly BS to anyone who has been in the same field. That's my
contribution, and feel free to toss it or examine it at your own leisure.
As far as the character/actions of Lamo and Manning.. I have no comment. I'm not in either of their shoes so I don't expect me to judge somebody
I don't know the full story on. -shrug-