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Hurricane Watch 2010

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posted on Sep, 1 2010 @ 03:26 PM
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reply to post by lasertaglover
 


Just came to bring the same picture, no real signs of weakening over next 12-24 hours and not expected to weaken, also the next one Fiona is weaker but too far out to contemplate publicly yet.

28-40 foot waves expected with Earl... Do the people on the east coast know what a 40 foot wave is?

This is dangerous, this is potentially very very dangerous.

www.cnn.com...#/video/weather/2010/09/01/marciano.hurricane.earl.update.cnn?iref=allsearch

Be well, stay safe.

135-150 MPh and getting stronger... Long Island could get hit worse than they have seen since the early 80's. It continues to disobey the statistics and move towards shore, Boston, NY Dc well within the cone.

Watching the strenght of the Rip Tides alone have me sitting on the edge... as an old surfer I know what this means...



[edit on 1-9-2010 by antar]




posted on Sep, 1 2010 @ 03:28 PM
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reply to post by Gazrok
 


Yeah, they seem to get it every time and it appears there is no relief in sight. While Fiona is about to dissipate, we have TD 9 which is most likely going to be names before days end - and, if that is not bad enough, we have a major wave coming off of Africa at the moment and that one is going to be another one that is most likely going to be huge and most likely named before Friday. All of these systems at the moment appear to want to follow a similar path as Earl.

I am patiently awaiting the 5:00 p.m advisory. The High pressure system over NC/SC has not moved all day and the low pressure system is deepening and the front is now more vertical. This is the critical point on the turn and course of Earl .

While funds may be low, there are things you can do that will not cost much. Water - store water now - in you sink, in you tube and in any container you have. Canned foods are relatively inexpensive - stock up. and candles - the basic ones are also relatively inexpensive which you can find at any hardware or drug store. It's the little things that are most crucial. Things you use everyday.



posted on Sep, 1 2010 @ 03:30 PM
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40 foot waves - those further north may not realize what this can do. Very dangerous storm and we still have a wait and see situation.



posted on Sep, 1 2010 @ 03:57 PM
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URGENT -- NHC: DANGEROUS HURRICANE EARL POSES A THREAT TO THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST, WATCHES AND WARNINGS EXTENDED NORTHWARD TO MASSACHUSETTS.



posted on Sep, 1 2010 @ 04:06 PM
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OKAY Folks - New info out. TD 9 has been Named = Gaston.
Earl is again a Cat 4

People You need to get ready for Earl Now! All up the eastern seaboard is in danger. I hate to write this but this monster is not playing. Just be prepared

TCPAT2
BULLETIN
HURRICANE EARL ADVISORY NUMBER 30
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072010
500 PM EDT WED SEP 01 2010

...DANGEROUS AND LARGE HURRICANE EARL POSES A THREAT TO THE
MID-ATLANTIC COAST...WATCHES AND WARNINGS EXTENDED NORTHWARD
THROUGH MASSACHUSETTS...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...26.3N 73.3W
ABOUT 235 MI...380 KM E OF GREAT ABACO ISLAND
ABOUT 630 MI...1010 KM SSE OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...135 MPH...215 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...941 MB...27.79 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM THE NORTH
CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER TO SANDY HOOK NEW JERSEY...INCLUDING
DELAWARE BAY SOUTH OF SLAUGHTER BEACH AND THE CHESAPEAKE BAY SOUTH
OF NEW POINT COMFORT.

A HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM WOODS HOLE TO SAGAMORE BEACH
MASSACHUSETTS...INCLUDING MARTHAS VINEYARD AND NANTUCKET.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM SANDY HOOK NEW JERSEY TO
WOODS HOLE MASSACHUSETTS...INCLUDING BLOCK ISLAND AND LONG ISLAND
SOUND.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM NORTH OF SAGAMORE BEACH
TO THE MOUTH OF THE MERRIMACK RIVER MASSACHUSETTS.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BOGUE INLET NORTH CAROLINA NORTHEASTWARD TO THE NORTH
CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER INCLUDING THE PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE
SOUNDS.

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER TO CAPE HENLOPEN
DELAWARE.
* WOODS HOLE TO SAGAMORE BEACH MASSACHUSETTS...INCLUDING MARTHAS
VINEYARD AND NANTUCKET.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* FROM CAPE FEAR TO WEST OF BOGUE INLET NORTH CAROLINA.
* FROM THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER TO SANDY HOOK NEW
JERSEY...INCLUDING DELAWARE BAY SOUTH OF SLAUGHTER BEACH AND THE
CHESAPEAKE BAY SOUTH OF NEW POINT COMFORT.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SANDY HOOK NEW JERSEY TO WOODS HOLE MASSACHUSETTS...INCLUDING
BLOCK ISLAND AND LONG ISLAND SOUND.
* NORTH OF SAGAMORE BEACH TO THE MOUTH OF THE MERRIMACK RIVER
MASSACHUSETTS.

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A WARNING IS TYPICALLY ISSUED
36 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE
PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS IN NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND AND SOUTHEASTERN CANADA SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF EARL.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY
YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...THE LARGE EYE OF HURRICANE EARL WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 73.3 WEST. EARL IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 17 MPH...28 KM/HR. THIS MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TONIGHT WITH A GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTH ON
THURSDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CORE OF THE HURRICANE WILL
APPROACH THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST BY LATE THURSDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 135 MPH...215
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. EARL IS AGAIN A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE
ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN
INTENSITY ARE LIKELY TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...BUT A GRADUAL WEAKENING
TREND IS ANTICIPATED THEREAFTER.

EARL IS STILL A LARGE HURRICANE AND GROWING. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS
EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES...150 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES...325 KM.

LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE
RECONNAISSANCE PLANE A FEW HOURS AGO WAS 941 MB...27.79 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WINDS...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE NORTH
CAROLINA COAST WITHIN THE WARNING AREA BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON WITH
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS OCCURRING BY LATE THURSDAY. TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS WILL LIKELY REACH THE COAST FROM VIRGINIA NORTHWARD TO
NEW JERSEY BY EARLY FRIDAY.

STORM SURGE...A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS
MUCH AS 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL WITHIN THE HURRICANE WARNING
AREA. ELSEWHERE...STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS
1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL WITHIN THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING
AREA. NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND
DESTRUCTIVE WAVES.

RAINFALL...ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED
MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 6 INCHES...ARE EXPECTED OVER PORTIONS OF EASTERN
NORTH CAROLINA INCLUDING THE OUTER BANKS.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS FROM EARL WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE BAHAMAS
AND THE EAST COAST OF THE UNITED STATES THROUGH FRIDAY. THESE
SWELLS WILL LIKELY CAUSE DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS AND RIP
CURRENTS.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...800 PM EDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA





[edit on 1-9-2010 by Anmarie96]



posted on Sep, 1 2010 @ 05:13 PM
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I want to make sure these two links were available for anyone who needed them so they wouldn't have to search back in this thread for them...

Disaster Supply Kit

Whatever your plans... please list yourself with the Red Cross so loved ones aren't worried.

American Red Cross ~ Safe and Well List

[edit on 1-9-2010 by OceanStone]



posted on Sep, 1 2010 @ 05:25 PM
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"Mandatory evacuation orders were issued for Ocracoke Island, on North Carolina's Outer Banks, and Cape Lookout National Seashore, as well as for visitors to Hatteras Island."

www.cnn.com...



posted on Sep, 1 2010 @ 07:11 PM
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What happens if it hits Georgia with a CAT4?

Nobody there is prepared...


The chances of it turning north are getting slimmer and slimmer.

EDIT : A fourth one could be up and running pretty soon...

[edit on 1-9-2010 by Vitchilo]



posted on Sep, 1 2010 @ 07:21 PM
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reply to post by Vitchilo
 


It is going to turn - but, if you live in Georgia, you should always be prepared .

There are planes in the air - they are now thinking this monster is much bigger now - but we need to get the info from the planes - that will be around 11:00 pm est

8:00 pm intermediate advisery:

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.



posted on Sep, 1 2010 @ 08:02 PM
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NOAA plane "Miss Piggy" records 177 mph wind gust/932 mb pressure in Hurricane Earl, eye is 30 miles in diameter, open to the south

That is some hardcore stuff.

177 mph!!! And pressure went down again ... not good. Not good at all.

-9mb in an hour... NOT GOOD.

It would make it a CATEGORY 5 HURRICANE...


Others sources say pressure is down to 918mb...


This is a VERY serious situation. Hurricane Earl may be a category 5 hurricane and a very large one at that.

- Meteorologist Steven DiMartino


ALL THE MODELS, except one, predict that it will turn east or north... We'll see how wrong they are...


EDIT: CONFIRMED IT STILL GOES WEST...

If it makes landfalls... it could be worse than Katrina. Not good.

[edit on 1-9-2010 by Vitchilo]



posted on Sep, 1 2010 @ 08:57 PM
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That eye is huge!

www.goes.noaa.gov...

Praying for everyone...



posted on Sep, 1 2010 @ 09:06 PM
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reply to post by Vitchilo
 


It must be much larger as you said

I'm at home now and can not readily post the models and maps at this time- I will work on this. Our problem with the northward turn is the High Pressure system that has been locked all day - It's being squeezed so to speak. IMHO I think it will make landfall just south of the forecast models. The eyewall is fully defined. The outerwalls are fully defined. We now have that third (sorry don't know the name of these- I should after all this time) White Wall in between the center eye and the red eye -The sucker bands are pulling the moisture right into the center (the foaming mouth/main eyewall - white band) Major, Major, Major . We have an explosive situation here and things are going to happen fast when this High Pressure System finally gives. And Then, when the Duke merges with the Low Pressure system that finally move up somewhere around Vermont/Maine, - And - That will be a whole other weather event.



posted on Sep, 1 2010 @ 09:11 PM
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This could be real bad if it makes landfall... Obama's Katrina?

Hopefully he will get his things together faster than with the oil spill, otherwise the east coast is screwed.

So landfall predicted for friday night/early saturday if it continues west like that?

CNN is reporting that high gusts of winds of 199 MPH or 318 KM/H have been recorded by a NOAA plane...

SCARY AS HELL... this is getting out of control... it's like a category 6 hurricane!




IMO they'll declare it a category 5 hurricane at the next update.

[edit on 1-9-2010 by Vitchilo]



posted on Sep, 1 2010 @ 09:21 PM
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reply to post by Vitchilo
 


We are looking at the outerbanks or farther south around Friday at like 1 am +/-. As far as I have heard and I am so following this, - As far as Katrina. This time - The national guard is already/almost in position, the navy is already/almost in position. They have been working hard - just most of the population does not know this. Yes, it could be and Obama's Katrina for sure - maybe worse. They are all worried - Geezzzzz, I have been watching the Weather Cannel since it's inception. Never once, have I seen so many of them out. - Very hard to predict mother nature - she does her own thing and has her own agenda.

edit - spelling get me every time

[edit on 1-9-2010 by Anmarie96]



posted on Sep, 1 2010 @ 09:46 PM
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From a Buoy in the Bahamas, (Offshore).... Check out the wave height!!!




Wind Direction (WDIR): SSE ( 150 deg true )
Wind Speed (WSPD): 44.7 kts
Wind Gust (GST): 54.4 kts
Wave Height (WVHT): 29.2 ft
Dominant Wave Period (DPD): 12 sec
Average Period (APD): 8.8 sec
Mean Wave Direction (MWD): SSE ( 161 deg true )
Atmospheric Pressure (PRES): 29.62 in
Pressure Tendency (PTDY): +0.09 in ( Rising )
Air Temperature (ATMP): 83.3 °F
Water Temperature (WTMP): 83.3 °F
Dew Point (DEWP): 77.7 °F
Heat Index (HEAT): 93.2 °F

www.ndbc.noaa.gov...

[edit on 1-9-2010 by freetree64]



posted on Sep, 1 2010 @ 10:01 PM
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ZCZC MIATCPAT2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
BULLETIN
HURRICANE EARL ADVISORY NUMBER 31
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072010
1100 PM EDT WED SEP 01 2010

...EARL A LITTLE STRONGER...THREATENING THE U.S. MID-ATLANTIC
COAST...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...27.8N 73.8W
ABOUT 520 MI...840 KM SSE OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...140 MPH...220 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 330 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...30 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...932 MB...27.52 INCHES

Full advisory

Questioning now landfall - maybe earlier at the High is moving now - reminds me of a slingshot

[edit on 1-9-2010 by Anmarie96]



posted on Sep, 1 2010 @ 10:34 PM
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Yeah it's going fast.. 30 km/h!

And me thinks NOAA is lying about the maximum winds of 140 mph. From the live reading on the NOAA planes, I saw over 190...

NOAA lying...



posted on Sep, 1 2010 @ 10:42 PM
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reply to post by Vitchilo
 


Oh No - THEY wouldn't do that
and never have before
- But please remember - it has to go through homeland before an announcement. - so it's not NOAA

Until tomorrow folks - I have to hit the hey - it's going to be a long few days that I will be up - maybe I can sleep through the 2:00 am advisory (but I doubt it
) - get sleep all while you can!



posted on Sep, 1 2010 @ 11:07 PM
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At around 20:30 tonight a dropsonde took this reading from the northwest eyewall:
895mb 60° (from the ENE) 173 knots (199 mph)

That is so not good.



posted on Sep, 2 2010 @ 01:05 AM
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So the 2AM report...

140 mph winds... 930mb... NNW at 18 mph. Getting stronger... pressure down... not good.

[edit on 2-9-2010 by Vitchilo]



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