reply to post by Dynamitrios
The blog post you mention is very interesting indeed. Yet, it changes nothing about the fact that consecutive Greek governments failed to implement a
strong fiscal policy, lived beyond their means and hence, Greece and Greece alone bears responsibility for this crisis. Although banks might have
played a role in the eventual downfall, it was Greek officials on various levels that made this corruption possible.
Without the Euro, Greece wouldn't have been able to pay off their debts. Greece's credit rating: BB+ (junk status) caused interest rates to soar to
levels of 18% on two years government bonds. Without the aid of the EU and the IMF, Greece would be bankrupt.
First of all, it makes sense that Greece is made (by the EU) to pay an interest rate higher (5%) than that interest rate that countries such as
Germany are actually charged (just above 3%). If we wouldn't punish Greece, other countries would not feel an urgency to get their finances in order,
because the EU would bail them out at a very small price anyway. Personally, I think that 5% is a very reasonable rate, considering that the long-term
rate for Greek Eurobonds is a staggering 7.83%.
You should be happy that the EU has bailed Greece out, without the aid package, Greece would be in a situation incomparable to the current situation.
Like I said, I really doubt that Greece is capable to repay the billions of debts and that's exactly why countries like Germany and my own don't
benefit at all from this construction.
As a consequence of the Greek disaster, we now have billions of debts more and all political parties are urging that budget cuts need to be made
during the next term (it's election time).
Although Greece is only part of a bigger problem, Greeks can blame no one but their own governments. Saying that we (other Eurocountries) profit from
the Greek mess is simply ridiculous. Claiming that it is unfair that we charge a higher interest rate than we get, but lower than the rate that Greece
itself is charged, is even more ridiculous.
This brings us to my original point: the strong economies of Europe would have probably been better off without the Euro. We pay the burden created by
the weak links in the chain. If there would not have been an Euro, these weak links would collapse like a card house while the stronger economies
would ''merely'' suffer.
Last, I believe that the Greek case (even though they bare sole responsibility) is the beginning of a globalized economic policy and perhaps even with
a currency that will replace the Euro and Dollar. That is not per definition bad, but it would give so much power to a select group of people that
would be very frightening.
Risk in % of countries unable to repay debts:
[edit on 30-5-2010 by Mdv2]