posted on May, 25 2010 @ 12:44 PM
I've often thought that armed conflicts, small wars etc were used to distract the populace from other things. Typically at the start of a conflict
the presidents apprioval ratings going up and the longer it drags out the further down it drops. Obama is killing his party right now. People don't
even want him campaigning for them. He's viewed as weak. He's screwed our country up and made America unamerican. He's going to have to start
campaigning in another year. He won't win if he continues down this path. No sitting president presiding over a war during election time has EVER
LOST AN ELECTION. Think about that.
Now if you look at history, when was W's approval at it's peak. 9/11 and during the 1st year and a half on the War on Terror(echo echo echo). But
he got reelected. When was GWSR's the highest? Yup you guessed it. But unfortunately for him the war ended a year and a half prior to seeking
reelection. Nixon, reelected. And his popularity was at its height during viet nam. FDR caught 4 terms as president, WW2. William McKinley
presided over the Spanish american war. He was reelected b4 getting murdered. Same thing for Honest Abe. Civil War and a another term.
In addition, several presidents presided over wars, but did not seek reelection. The War of 1812 began after James Madison started his second term,
and he chose not to run again in 1816. James Polk declared the U.S.-Mexican War (1846-1848), but declined a second term. Harry S. Truman got the
country into the Korean War in 1950 but didn't run for reelection. John F. Kennedy started the U.S. involvement in Vietnam in 1961. This led to war
under the administration of Lyndon Johnson, who did not run for reelection.
Interestingly, war hero Dwight D. Eisenhower's promise to get America out of Korea helped elect him president in 1952. Woodrow Wilson was also in the
anti-war camp. World War I broke out in Europe in 1914, during Wilson's first term. He won reelection in 1916 with the Democratic campaign slogan,
"He kept us out of war." But sadly, Wilson couldn't uphold the policy indefinitely, and German attacks forced him to ask Congress for a declaration
of war in 1917.
Now I don't believe that there is any way short of war for Obama to catch a 2nd term. And it's gotta last until the election. I thought Iran was
his answer, but the more I think about Iran the more I realize that they'd be decimated in short order. And with China and Russia taking up new
sanctions against them I don't forsee anything of consequence for Obama there.
But Korea. Nuclear North Korea. Very nuclear and crazy as hell North korea. North Korea and their biggest trading partner China. Kim Jong Il is a
great villan, a wonderful Joker to Obama's batman. I mean there is no way Obama wouldn't get support and command respect for taking on the worlds
most unstable dictator. And a nuclear nation too. That's ballsy. We typically don't see armed conflict between 2 nations with real nuclear
capability. So there is a good chance it will be drawn out because of the nuclear threat. And it could stretch out through the election.
I see it. North Korea torpedoing that ship has set in motion a sequence of events that is going to lead to Obama's reelection and devestation in SE
ASIA. N Korea would have no choice but to use nuclear weapons, they won't have a chance otherwise. And they hope the threat of that would keep the
US out of it. Kim Jong just has bad timing. Obama needs a war and N Korea has it.
Now North Korea's ballistic missle battery looks like this:
KN-1 – a short-range anti-ship cruise missile. Its range is estimated to be around 160 kilometers, and most probably it's an improved version of
the Soviet Termit missile (NATO codename "Styx").
KN-2 Toksa – a short-range, solid-fueled, highly accurate mobile missile, modified copy of the Soviet OTR-21. Unknown number in service, apparently
deployed either in the late 1990s or early 2000s.
Hwasong-5 – initial Scud modification. Road-mobile, liquid-fueled missile, with an estimated range of 330 km. It has been tested successfully. It is
believed that North Korea has deployed some 150–200 such missiles on mobile launchers.
Hwasong-6 – later Scud modification. Similar to the Hwasong-5, yet with an increased range (550–700 km) and a smaller warhead (600–750 kg).
Apparently this is the most widely deployed North Korean missile, with at least 400 missiles in use.
Nodong-1 – larger and more advanced Scud modification. Liquid-fueled, road-mobile missile with a 650 kg warhead. First production variants had
inertial guidance, later variants featured GPS guidance, which improves CEP accuracy to 190–250 m. Range is estimated to be between 1,300 and
Nodong-2 – further improved variant of the Nodong-1, successfully tested in 2006. Range is estimated at about 2,000 km.
Taepodong-1 – two-stage Scud-derived missile. Has been tested with a satellite payload in 1998. The satellite failed, but the missile apparently
flew without significant problems, therefore it is North Korea's longest-ranged operational missile with its 2,500 km maximum range. According to
some analysts, the Taepodong-1 could have an intercontinental range of nearly 6,000 km with a third stage and a payload of less than 100 kg.
Taepodong-2 – North Korea's domestic ICBM attempt. First test occurred in 2006, when the missile failed 40 seconds after launch. On April 5, 2009,
a space booster variant was launched with a satellite on board. As with in 1998, the satellite itself failed to reach orbit, but the missile flew
several thousand kilometers before falling in the Pacific Ocean. Estimates of the range vary widely – from 4,500 to 10,000 kilometers (most
estimates put the range at about 6,700 km).
Now the scary thing about North Korea is who it supplies Missles to and who it recieves assistance from. Cuba, Pakistan, Egypt, Ethiopia, IRAN,
LIBYA, Nigeria, Congo, Sudan, Syria, UAE, Vietnam and Yemen.
I could picture Iran, Pakistan, Libya, Yemen and Syria getting involved. And the possibility of the conflict stretching into a 2nd term increases
with the involvement of these nations, several of which would use the assault on N Korea as an excuse to attempt an extermination of Israel.
Now as far as missle defense systems, our ground based missle defense can intercept and destroy limited ICBM assaults. We also have airborn
capabilities with lasers and kinetic warheads. Israel has this air defense system as well. You have 3 kinds of Missle defense, Strategic, Theater
and Tactical. Strategic is our ground based MDF. Theater would be our airborn systems and tactical would be like the Patriot systems.
Now in theory we could protect our troops and south korea from a north korean nuclear assault. By using the Active Layered Theater Ballistic Missle
Defense System we could provide comprehensive protection from N Korea's short and medium ranged nuclear arsenal. They have limited long range
capabilities so protection from those won't be an issue.
So Obama can engage in the 1st real nuclear conflict without much danger. And it would totally remanufacture his image. What do you guys think?