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I've been watching the live Spillcam, and discussing it with folks, here all day long. About 5pm last night, we all started taking note of gas bubbling out of the seabed floor. It started earlier than that, actually-- see pic a few posts down. About 1am this morning, the eruptions began to increase in spew volume.
At about 8am, CDT, as I watched, things started changing rapidly. Where the water around the two major gush points used to be very clear, it is now super turbid, and detritus is flying everywhere in a chaotic manner. seabed venting is obvious to see when ROV cameras pan around.
Yet-to-be-confirmed rumors are that the casing wall has finally worn through, about 300 feet below seabed, at an annulus (coupling), and the gas and oil are now finding a new way out to the seabed. Not good news, as it will make the Top-Kill/Junk Shot nearly ineffectual... At the least, it means that more pressure and mud/cement is going to be required.
Screengrab of the early Morning Chaos Event. Everthing went up all at once. ROV was perfectly stationary. EVERYTHING went "BOOM" and black:
The entire range of field erupted at once. Everything. Everywhere, and then the pipe went GUSH!
Update: Here's a screen grab showing the new hole in the seabed. That's not the riser end from a new angle. This was grabbed while the ROV on the riser end was panning around. The BOP is over 600 feet away, so it is not that, either.
UPDATE 5:45pm CDT: A brand new MAJOR eruption is happening. tune into the SpillCam at BP.com . It's black, all you can see is a cable. It started with yet another GUSH plume/tornado. Oh, dear-- now, we can see that that is a LOT of oil--and a BLIZZARD of Hydrates..
UPDATE 6:03pm CDT: The current eruption is way, way worse than the several that occured earlier. I think this might be a "Main Event" situation.
UPDATE 6:45pm CDT: An hour after the start of this most recent eruption, and it is still just a wall of oil, methane crystals, and gack. Our Favorite Disaster Bot is damaged, and needs an oil change and the windshield cleaned. Up it goes. look at all the giant plumes in the water column... wow!: Cut to black.
(i edited out the swear words):
UPDATE 7:35pmCDT: Live feed of recent blowout froze-up, requiring a reload of page. All of a sudden-- no more black chaos-- just the current clear-water gusher view. I suspect loop tape, but I have the screen grabs from the entire day, below. If there is another delay in the "Top-Kill/Junk Shot," you'll know why.
Grab of the last moment as OFDB left site, below. You can dimly make out the lights of the lighting rig, lower center of pic image-- That is the signature of a major event... not some bot churn. Those lights should be illuminating more than a foot radius.
UPDATE 8:15pm CDT: Top-Kill Delayed. Imagine my surprise.
UPDATE 11:51pmCDT: Another major eruption. These are not coming from the riser. They are coming in to view from elsewhere, even in the long, high-view shots. Sometimes from behind the ROV. Twenty-four hours of near non-stop SpillCam viewing, and not one look at the BOP.
BP decided to run a repeat of the afternoon eruption i the late night, when they figured no one would notice. Our absolutely brilliant friend (did I mention he's a Mac User?) had it in him to record, and make a screengrab contact sheet of the event.
Below, you see the Riser pipe end, and a whole lot of the landscape blowing out. It spun Our Favorite Disaster Bot at least 360-degrees, before it recovered. Somewhere after the third blowout of the day, BP hauled it up. The ascent video is posted just below. It's clear that something went crazy along what is left of the pipeline from the Casings through BOP to the terminal Riser end-- the Poster Child of the disaster.
Originally posted by mrsdudara
It only makes sense. I am not a mathmatician, so if someone who is could do the math I would be interested in finding out how large of an area is emptying out. How many gallons per day plus they say 300x's that amount of gas is escaping over the course of a month....how many cubic feet is that? It is bound to collapse. But, my question is how big of an area is fixing to collapse?
Originally posted by faceoff85
Here's the post of that monkey fister
Monkeyfister on May 24, 2010 - 12:23am Permalink | Subthread | Parent | [Parent subthread ] Comments top
I live-blogged all of that all day. Little sleep. But all the images are real. I wrote it as I witnessed it. Lots of other folks were watching, too.
I sure would like to better understand what I saw. Three major eruptions in less than 24-hours. I've been pretty glued to SpillCam all week, and have seen nothing as violent as what happened today.
Is it possible that the riser pipe is acting like a giant garden heater coil, and thawing hydrates, and forcing them up? That's my only gues as to what I saw... beside casing failure. I don't know which would be worse.
Sounds like its getting worse by the minute... I'm a long ways from the gulf but I must say this stuff gives me the shivers... what else are we in for?
Originally posted by liveandletlive
Ok, the seismograph went off at 1630GMT. What time was it when this happened? Anyone know?
This event started around about 8am, CDT.
Whats the time difference?
Edit to add: Babbling
[edit on 25-5-2010 by liveandletlive]
[edit on 25-5-2010 by liveandletlive]
This particular oil field spans a HUGE area, and considering that before the tragedy occurred (or was allowed to happen?) there were estimates that it would have taken 100 years to deplete it at a rate of 500,000 barrels a day, this could be globally catastrophic in the long run.