reply to post by Sarkron
Interesting & spooky.
Do you only get your news from the Huff? You know, it usually contains spin (propaganda). I know I haven't seen a single Fox news article (on any
topic) ever since this all started. They are equals. But please do keep things updated.
Anyways, supposedly the BLOB hasn't hit the loop yet. I've yet to see anything mention how fast it would make it that far when it does. The depth
between the Keys and Cuba would also be useful info in trying to understand the way it will pan out.
Eventually, for Louisiana's sake, that oil is going to have to get sucked out of there.
It would be best under the following 2 scenario's (maybe some others):
1. Eventually
half the 'oil' will evaporate. I don't know how long that takes, but however long it does take it can't be expected to be
complete while the damn thing is still leaking. Hopefully it doesn't take long, no matter how it gets dispersed, as the solvents etc that do
evaporate are the most acute deadly of the mix (short of getting covered and stucked up in sludge).
2. It doesn't get sucked into the loop until initiated by a huge storm (I already said until the leak is stopped). This will help break up the BLOB
and get swept on out into the deep. Is my guess anyways.
Despite the thrashing I've received for not totally hysterically outcrying the ordeal, this thread isn't about lowballing the reality of the
situation. It's about understanding it via history etc. Please anyone quote me to show otherwise. I never said there wouldn't be pain.
It'd be real nice if we had data that explain how fast the 49% of the mess evaporates.
The thing about those tarballs is it
seems like they'd encounter other portions of the oil first, unless perhaps those parts are already
broken down assuming the tarballs are from the leak.
I know 2 brothers that are older than me that both said that while surfing the east coast in the 70's one time their group came out of the water
covered with globs of tar.
In any case, we can get an idea of how much tar the 'world' faces dealing with one way or another...
Asphalts account for 6% of your average crude. I spent a couple good hours earlier trying to get detailed percentage listings of average crude
contents, to try to establish actual toxicity, but didn't get too far. A shame. You'd think this info would smack you in the face via Google.
Anyways, going by the highball leak estimate, 70,000 bpd (read the thread, I did admit that 60,000 bpd could be leaking by following a historical
example accounting for increased pipe size), or 2,940,000 gallons per day, following the high estimate after 29 days, that puts us at 85,260,000
gallons of crude.
@ 6% tar, so far we face a
high estimate of 5,115,600 of tar.
Going by the low end estimate of 5,000 bpd, we face 365,400 gallons fo tar, so far.
The truth usually falls somewhere in between.
Drug across a volume of water that holds about 100 trillion gallons of water is relevant perspective, although it won't quite dissolve like a better
part of the rest of the crude.
Assuming the figure of the Gulf releasing 22 million gallons per year via seepage is remotely accurate, it already manages 1,320,000 gallons of tar
per year. But of course that is spread out over the entire spanse of 642 trillions gallons plus cycling current of the Gulf.
will you fess up to
this? man enough? you presented good points but the data is overwhelmingly against you 
