reply to post by Everton
I've been comparing the current situation with 1974 ever since the vote on Thursday.
But I'm now beginning to see a resemblance to 1885.
In the 1885 election, Parnell's Irish Nationalists held the balance of power.
The results were;
Liberals 333
Conservatives 251
Irish Nationalists 85
If Parnell had decided to prop up the outgoing Conservative government, they would have had a tiny majority.
Instead, Gladstone also "played the Green card" (as they used to say in those days). There were hints that he would favour "Home Rule" for
Ireland; then he defeated the government, with Irish support, and thus gained the chance to form a government of his own.
The catch was that getting Irish support implied attempting some sort of plan in the direction of giving Home Rule to Ireland, and the unsuccessful
attempt broke his party in two and kept them out of government for most of the next twenty years.
If this precedent were to be followed, Cameron would make an agreement with Clegg, introduce a bill to bring in PR- and would then be brought down by
Conservative back-bench rebellion.
Edited for the sake of greater accuracy
[edit on 10-5-2010 by DISRAELI]