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C'mon, how big is the Gulf of Mexico oil spill, really?
Calculating the exact flow of crude out of the bent Deepwater Horizon oil rig "riser" pipe on the bottom of the Gulf of Mexico is difficult. But it's now likely that the actual amount of the oil spill dwarfs the Coast Guard's figure of 5,000 barrels, or 210,000 gallons, a day.
Independent scientists estimate that the renegade wellhead at the bottom of the Gulf could be spewing up to 25,000 barrels a day. If chokeholds on the riser pipe break down further, up to 50,000 barrels a day could be released, according to a National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration memo obtained by the Mobile, Ala., Press-Register.
A government report obtained by the Mobile, Ala., Press-Register explains that "choke points" in the crumpled riser are controlling the flow from the so-called Macondo well at Lease Block 252 in the Mississippi Canyon. But scrubbing action from sand in the oil is further eroding the pipe. There are likely tens of millions of gallons in the deposit that BP tapped with the Deepwater Horizon.
"The following is not public," reads National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Emergency Response document dated April 28, according to the Press-Register. "Two additional release points were found today. If the riser pipe deteriorates further, the flow could become unchecked resulting in a release volume an order of magnitude higher than previously thought."
An order of magnitude is a factor of 10.
The 5,000 barrels a day is the "extremely low end" of estimates, Mr. Amos told the Journal.
Originally posted by kinda kurious
reply to post by loam
I am beginning to think that our Government is acting like a lifeguard holding back watching a drowning man try to save himself.
[edit on 10-5-2010 by kinda kurious]
Did you smell strange odor in the air over the weekend?
Hoping to enjoy outdoor activities on Mother’s Day, a few Southwest Florida residents were crying foul — smell that is.
Chad Hautmann, of Naples, said he was planning to have a picnic on the beach with his wife and daughters on Sunday night, but an odor that he thinks may be a result of the Gulf oil spill kept the family “smelled in.”
Hautmann said the stench, which was like “a very old kerosene lamp that had been lighted and then snuffed out,” began to emanate outside their home in Lake Park on Saturday night and continued throughout Sunday evening.
After spending part of the day at the pool, some members of the family experienced headaches and mild nausea, he said.
Others in Southwest Florida have reported a similar smell.
Reddy said he can’t say, though, that the smell of those evaporating compounds could make it all the way to Southwest Florida, some 400 miles away.
Emergency preparations in dealing with the expanding oil menace are now being made for cities and towns from Corpus Christi, Texas, to Houston, New Orleans, Gulfport, Mobile, Pensacola, Tampa-St.Petersburg-Clearwater, Sarasota-Bradenton, Naples, and Key West. Some 36 FEMA-funded contracts between cities, towns, and counties and emergency workers are due to be invoked within days, if not hours, according to WMR's FEMA sources.
There are plans to evacuate people with respiratory problems, especially those among the retired senior population along the west coast of Florida, before officials begin burning surface oil as it begins to near the coastline.
Amateur Video Of Gulf Oil Slick - Worse Than BP Admits
Video is from Alabama resident John Wathen as a volunteer pilot flew him over the area where the oil rig sank. Officials have stopped guessing at the amount of oil leaking although some speculate it may be closer to 1 million gallons per day.
Don't let BP spin this into something trivial.
"It's not a leak, it's a volcano spewing oil"
I personally believe that the media is not telling people how bad this is out of fear of public panic.
After Oil Rig Blast, BP Refused to Share Underwater Spill Footage
During a series of dry-run exercises, where the U.S. Coast Guard, other agencies and oil companies practiced their response to major oil spill disasters, industry executives repeatedly pressed federal regulators to give them more say on what information would be released to the public if disaster struck.
Reports obtained in a joint investigation by ABC News and the Center for Public Integrity show oil companies targeted the potential release of "confidential" information as a key concern.
Throughout the clean-up effort, BP has monitored the spill site around the clock using submarine-mounted cameras at the mouth of the spill. An official at Oceaneering International, the company that operates the submarines under a contract with BP, told ABC News he "could walk right down the hall and watch it, but I can't share it without BP's express permission."
Eric Smith, a professor at Tulane University's Energy Institute said that footage could help in making independent assessments of the scope of the spill. But it also could do public relations damage to BP. It has remained closely guarded and cannot be made public under the argument that it is "proprietary," according to Coast Guard officials who have received repeated requests to release the images.
...government officials told reporters they were trying to persuade the company to be more forthcoming.
Asked if the White House could compel the company to release the video, Press Secretary Robert Gibbs said Tuesday the decision rests with BP, which controls the tapes.