reply to post by tothetenthpower
The problem with the GOP using the oil spill to their advantage is they still have the "Drill, Baby Drill!" mantra in the party. I do agree that the
spill will have effects, but it might backfire on the GOP. So far here are some areas of worry/relief for the Democrats:
1. Health Care Reform: This needed to be done, and it is not popular on either side. Conservatives want to repeal it, liberals did not think it went
far enough. The lack of a public option also hurts in many liberal areas. The Democrats have to sell the good stuff in the bill and on that note many
Republicans are taking credit for the Medicare fixes in this bill. All in all, passage of this landmark bill will help Barack Obama who kept his
campaign pledge on reforming the system. It won't hurt Democrats as badly as it was thought.
2. Financial Reform: This is a popular bill and should help the Democrats out this fall. Republicans were going to filibuster it at every moment, but
saw how much the voters hate Wall Street.
3. Immigration Reform: Another tough area that needs to be tackled. It was going to be put off for a while, but the Arizona law has changed many
minds. It will be dealt with in the next few weeks, but will create headaches for members of both parties.
4. Oil Spill: Who is in charge of the clean-up? The Coast Guard is in charge of this disaster. The real problem is there are no proven methods on how
to deal with this environmental mess. BP lied about being able to respond if a spill happened, and was approved to drill there by the Bush
Administration. Both parties have much blame to go around for this one, and as Barack Obama takes the heat (as he is) it will come off as a good thing
that someone is saying the buck stops here. It also shows how powerful Big Oil is, next to Wall Street.
I do think that the Democrats will keep the House, but not by much. The Senate is in better shape for the Democrats now that Arlen lost his
The Tea Party movement is a blessing and a curse for the GOP. The blessing is that they are Republicans who do vote. The curse is that they are
scaring off the moderates and independents who are needed to win federal offices.
I am projecting 51 Dems, 3 Ind and 46 Rep for the Senate. The Democrats will lose Delaware, North Dakota and Arkansas for sure.