Dow 4000, well that is the lowest Bear forecast i've seen by anyone with enough skill to post a guess on the internet.
I looked into CD rates last week and the best I could get was 1.60% for a 12 month lock in. Dividends are still beating that at the moment.
The Inflation Adjusted Dow! Holy Freakanomics! , page 1
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Topic started on 8-3-2010 @ 07:28 AM by Cabaret Voltaire
This is nuts. I never considered such a thing.
Look at the way the stock market appears to stay in a stable horizontal range from 1965 to 1982 when in fact it is getting beat down when the price level is adjusted for inflation. That is awesome. Frighteningly awesome. Take a look at the market top of early 2000 and the recent top of late 2007. Everybody knows the market went up higher in 2007, but in reality it was only making a double top when the price levels were inflation adjusted.
Don't stop there. Look at the next guy's explanation about governement warpage in the inflation figures. That Fred guy claims that the numbers have been monkeyed with, and his chart shows that the recent high in 2007 wasn't even a double top! Fred is showing us that the highest level on record is actually a lower level when adjusted for inflation and the geometric weighting formula used by the government. Whatever geometric weighting is.... it's awesome! Frighteningly awesome!!
I'm now expecting a massive prolonged world economic pain cycle. The idea that the numbers are constantly deceiving us while our money becomes worth less and less is almost too much to handle. No wonder the stocks hit an all time high. The money they are denominated in is hitting an all time low. I wonder who Pete Rose would be betting against.
Look at the way the stock market appears to stay in a stable horizontal range from 1965 to 1982 when in fact it is getting beat down when the price level is adjusted for inflation. That is awesome. Frighteningly awesome. Take a look at the market top of early 2000 and the recent top of late 2007. Everybody knows the market went up higher in 2007, but in reality it was only making a double top when the price levels were inflation adjusted.
Don't stop there. Look at the next guy's explanation about governement warpage in the inflation figures. That Fred guy claims that the numbers have been monkeyed with, and his chart shows that the recent high in 2007 wasn't even a double top! Fred is showing us that the highest level on record is actually a lower level when adjusted for inflation and the geometric weighting formula used by the government. Whatever geometric weighting is.... it's awesome! Frighteningly awesome!!
I'm now expecting a massive prolonged world economic pain cycle. The idea that the numbers are constantly deceiving us while our money becomes worth less and less is almost too much to handle. No wonder the stocks hit an all time high. The money they are denominated in is hitting an all time low. I wonder who Pete Rose would be betting against.
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Proponents of Gold Standard May Be Violent Extremists; Report ALL Suspicious Activity To the FBI
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