posted on Mar, 6 2010 @ 09:52 AM
GE stands to make a ton of money on Cap & Trade. GE is one of only two locomotive manufacturers in the US. The other one is EMD, which had the first
successful design of the modern electric-diesel locomotive. Projected sales orders for new locomotives for 2008 were 2000. GE was to build 1700 of
them.
The carbon credits will a major factor in transportation as there is not a single tangible product that does not spend some time in a semi before
being for sale at your local store. Many transportation companies will suffer under Cap & Trade buying the Carbon Credits for their fleet of rigs. The
independent Owner/Operators will be unable to compete in long-haul operations and will be limited to short run (low paying) rail yard to warehouse and
warehouse to store runs. We may see more 24 foot straight box trucks doing these warehouse to store runs as a result. Which actually consumes more
fuel as a whole (due to limited space and increased runs), but will be more efficient for individual and company haulers to operate.
Semi-Trailers may become a thing of the past as cargo containers can go from ship to rail to container rack trailer more efficiently. The loading and
unloading of containers are no different at distribution points than the standard dry-box trailers we see today.
Why the switch back to rail? The freight rate will become immensely cheaper on the business owner. But the same draw back will apply: Time. In
today's transportation and sales, we use the "just in time" method of warehousing and inventory. Companies' assets of raw material and finished
products do not spend their time on a shelf, but rather in transit. What this means to a consumer is lower prices due to the lower cost of ownership
of a product by the seller.
Ultimately consumers will pay higher prices and have less selection of products even if Carbon Credits were free but of finite supply, just because of
how products will arrive. By using the efficiency of rail, products will have to be ordered well in advance and every finger in the pie has to be
paid. By truck, there is increased rates by less available trucks. The freight rate will reflect the expenditure of the Carbon Credit to one store
over another.
Why is this a real concern, price notwithstanding, is that of the major US cities there is only a three day supply of food and other goods. In minor
cities, about seven to ten days. Food is perishable and would have to go by truck. Think of a head of lettuce going from California to New York. By
truck it would be there in 3-4 days. By rail, in 7-14 days and have no refrigeration while on the train other than ice or dry ice.