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Originally posted by kenochs
I mean Columbus knew the world was round, knew the basic circumference and yet he thought he'd sailed to India... go figure.
ps: Zheng He is an awesome story... thanks for putting that out.
[edit on 25-1-2010 by kenochs]
Originally posted by telfyr
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- if there is less ice, there will be MUCH more water vapor in the atmosphere. On such a global scale, what would this effect be on the ocean levels?
- the aquifer system is never considered. the underground waters store massive amounts of water. How much more could be stored? What about prior underground systems that have dried out? How much water did they hold? How deep would this be capable of going? How much could it absorb into the crust, filling in gaps, caves, cracks, and holes?
- How do we know that the continents as we see them today are not the only continents there were? We have a hell of a legend to go on, and many stories of disappearing and missing islands (one with a Spanish monastery built on it). It is not completely unprecedented to think that a VERY large landmass was not sunk. The earthquakes caused by the release of polar pressure could be enough to create such a massive problem.
The only reason i bring any of this up is to point out that conjecture is too kind of a word for the discussions around what Antarctica should/would look like on a map. The key is to determine if that is what is represented, and then decide if it was based on fact, or someone elses prior conjecture.
If all the Earths ice melted, and Antarctica is 90% of the total, the sea level rise is calculated at around 80 meters. Beach front property in Arizona anyone?
How so? The dew point is the dew point. It rains when the atmosphere gets saturated. Of course, if the ice has melted, the average temperature of the atmosphere is warmer, so the dew point is raised (warmer air holds more water before it rains). So to answer the question we need to know how much of a temperature rise we are assuming. But I don't think it will be significantly higher.
I'm not sure this is very significant. As the sea level rises, it is going to fill in stuff like low-lying basins. Any caves it encounters, will be filled in, sure. Are there many caves that can hold the equivalent of say Sydney Harbor or San Fransisco Bay? If so is that going to have much of an impact on a global scale? Dunno, but I kinda doubt it will have an affect on the order of a meter globally; that would be a hell of a lot of water stored that way.
Inland aquifers wouldn't be affected at all.
There used to be fewer continents than today. There was once only one continent: Pangaea.
It is indeed frightening to consider what effect the rising land mass will have on the rest of the Earth's crust. The estimate for the Antarctic land mass is a rise of around 950 meters in the interior and about 60 meters along the coast. That is going to cause a heck of a disruption in the crust over a wide area. I expect it is going to displace a lot of water too, I don't know whether or not that effect is included in the sea level rise.
The (modern) maps are based on Geophysical measurements, there is no modeling or conjecture involved. I don't expect the calculations of how much the land will rise are perfectly accurate, but they would surely be very close. And the sea rise is calculation is relatively straight forward.
Originally posted by Telos
And lets not forget the the use of longitude in a time when nobody was suppose to know it existed.
Early in the sixteenth century, Admiral Piri Reis, Turkish Navy, had acquired a map used by Columbus. Combining it with Greek maps dating back to Alexander the Great, he compiled a world chart in 1513.
In 1953, a Turkish naval officer sent the Piri Reis map to the Chief Engineer of the United States Navy Hydrographic Office. To evaluate it, the Chief Engineer asked the aid of Captain Mallery, an authority on old maps, who had previously worked with him. After a long study, Mallery discovered the projection method used. Confirming this and other technical points, the Navy cartographers came to these conclusions:
1. Columbus had a map, on his historic voyage to America, which
showed the coasts of Yucatan, Guatemala, South America to the Straits
of Magellan and a large part of the Antarctic coast.
2. The original maps went back at least 5,000 years, and some data
shown went back even farther. Part of the land areas shown had been
buried under ice for twenty centuries or more.
3. Only highly trained survey teams and cartographers could have
produced charts of such "amazing accuracy." Their operations must
have covered the entire earth. "We don't know how they could do it so
accurately without the airplane," Captain Mallery summed it up.
If all the Earths ice melted, and Antarctica is 90% of the total, the sea level rise is calculated at around 80 meters. Beach front property in Arizona anyone?
This is the basis of my dispute: that the calculations are a wild guess.
How so? The dew point is the dew point. It rains when the atmosphere gets saturated. Of course, if the ice has melted, the average temperature of the atmosphere is warmer, so the dew point is raised (warmer air holds more water before it rains). So to answer the question we need to know how much of a temperature rise we are assuming. But I don't think it will be significantly higher.
Consider, there are many factors. First, the increase in temperature causes an increase in atmospheric density via an increase in water vapor. This decreases ice sublimation in mountain areas.
The loss of ice creates a higher temperature, at least regionally, due to the loss of the reflective surface of ice, and the exposure of dark soil/rock.
i believe, in my opinion, that there is no way for Antarctica to have no ice short of crustal shift, but that is not even part of the discussion.
I'm not sure this is very significant. As the sea level rises, it is going to fill in stuff like low-lying basins. Any caves it encounters, will be filled in, sure. Are there many caves that can hold the equivalent of say Sydney Harbor or San Fransisco Bay? If so is that going to have much of an impact on a global scale? Dunno, but I kinda doubt it will have an affect on the order of a meter globally; that would be a hell of a lot of water stored that way.
Inland aquifers wouldn't be affected at all.
To see the significance, take a cup and fill it with rocks/gravel. Note the amount of apparent, available space. Next, take a cup of water and begin pouring it into this cup of rocks. Note how much water fits into the previously "full" cup of rocks.
To be honest, i would postulate that the increased water level would significantly add more weight on the edges of continental shelves, thus pushing them further down (possibly tilting inland mountain ranges slightly higher, like a teeter totter, or creating massive fault lines as pressures are released via faulting).
Inland aquifers are affected just as every other water system is affected. Consider:
- glacial melt, especially the large amounts of meltwater runoff from beneath the glacier (ice cannot form under very high pressure, and there is always a fair water "cushion" between the bottom of the glacier and the ground beneath). This is a big provider of fresh water systems. Entire river systems are formed from mountain glacial runoff. Best water in N. America, in Worland, WY, is fed from a spring that is glacial in origin.
- increased atmospheric water creates additional rains/storms. This adds to inland aquifer systems.
- pressure on continental plates impacts aquifer levels. A lot of it has to do with heat pressures lower in the crust. If the crust is higher (further from heat), less pressure exists and water can saturate deeper.
- There is still the whole concept of of what glacial dams can do, not only to freshwater systems, but salt water systems as well. But remember, if it never makes it to the coast, the river water will not affect sea level. The more water you can hold inland, the less water there will be hitting the coast in the form of ocean.
I am familiar with Pangea. This is not what i refer to. What i refer to is a landmass that may or may not have existed, which would have displaced a large amount of water, thus pushing ocean levels up considerably.
It only pertains to the discussion of what Antarctic coastlines used to look like. It just supports my notion that any discussion about such matters are highly speculative due to the complete unknown nature of the topic. A few folks seemed to be a little too attached to their position, and i was just offering a reminder.
I was referring to the maps that postulate the former coast lines, and how they were used to determine authenticity of these maps.
The straight forward nature of the sea level increases is exactly what i am criticising. It is only straight forward because it is entirely inaccurate and not accounting for the true reality of how the situation works.
Sometimes science understands things well, and they define the processes adequately.
Other times, they have no idea what they are talking about, but they are trying to convince themselves and others. Things related to Earths environment falls into this category. We are wrong on just about every occassion, right down to the local weather man.
They are pretty straight forward calculations made from observable data.
No more so than existing coastlines are affected by that means.
In other words, you don't understand the formulas for volume, or the change in volume of water as it melts and is relieved from pressure, or what the mass of ice is, or the shape of existing coastlines and the topographical features, and therefore no one else can know those things and do it correctly either.
I live in the desert of West Texas. I can tell you that we have a LOT of capacity for fresh water storage within our dry lakes, creeks, wells, and aquifers (the Edwards is pretty low right now).