posted on Jan, 21 2010 @ 08:12 PM
Ok, I want to create this thread so we can have a chat about the Iranian nuclear issue.
No doubt you are all aware of what is happening with this dilemma and no doubt you may all be sick to death of hearing about it!
But I am creating this thread and I am putting all media and news reports, predictions aside for a moment, because it is clear we can't really rely
on them to tell us anything worthwhile.
Media has made predictions of an Israeli military strike since 2005 at least 3 or 4 times for every year, obviously all of them bunk claims and
So forget them for the time being. I wanted to talk about this issue purely from a first glance perspective, as if this is the first time we have even
heard about it, pushing the last 6 years of saber rattling, war threats and propaganda poison out of our minds.
What do we see? Well, I can tell you what I see, and this is what I wanted to talk about
The Iranian Nuclear issue, and where it is leading to?:
It is blatantly obvious diplomatic efforts to curb the Iranians uranium enrichment have failed, despite China recently calling for more time on the
issue and the time for sanctions is not yet.
Well, the Iranians have proved year in year out that ceasing their enrichment simply is NEVER going to happen. World powers can whinge and whine, talk
and negotiate for years to come... Their enrichment will never cease. It is their right and they are rightly sticking by it.
And that is an open and shut case.
So where does that leave us? World powers are now really beginning to try and push for hard "crippling sanctions" against Iran. That is now
Will sanctions work? Will they be so effective as to cripple the regime?
Probably not. China will pretty much veto and sanctions with their trade.
I only see two paths that this issue is leading too.
PATH 1: Iran continues to enrich uranium, sanctions fail, and the world and particularly Israel will have to give up and learn to live with a nuclear
(Put your % chance of that happening)
PATH 2: Iran continue to enrich uranium, diplomatic efforts fail, sanctions fail, Israel launches a massive military campaign on Iran.
I do not believe a revolution will occur in Iran that will be so effective as to topple the regime, it is possible of course but I do not believe it
So what time frame do you expect to see? How much longer will this issue drag out? another 6 years? 5 years? 1 year? next week?
What's going to occur? Will the world give up and simply live with and accept a nuclear Iran, or will there be a massive war over all this? And when
do you expect to see it come to a head?
I apologize this was a bit of a ranting post, but I see this conflict coming. It doesn't matter when it's coming, it is just simply coming.
What do you all think about this?
[edit on 21-1-2010 by Nomad451]