Maybe too complex for here - there is much more going on than Cowboys and Indians aka Israel vs Arabs.
Syria is extremely uncomfortable with hosting Hezbollah for it's master Iran. Hezbollah and Iran might even represent a threat to Assad's fragile
grip of the country.
Discord within the rank and file there is a move to replace leadership with Sheikh Subhi al-Tufaili Hezbollah’s leader 1989 to 1991, expelled in
1998 after rebelling over the strengthening alliance with Iran and the decision to integrate Hezbollah into Lebanon’s political landscape.
Iran is terrified of direct confrontations with anyone capable of besting them in open military conflict. Hezbollah has been used as their mercenary
proxy. But they don't want to go to battle for Iran any more.
This may be part of a domino effect as Iran's own military has balked at a war the Ayatollahs and Mr A push for to somehow resuscitate their
positions.
It's all been a war of nerves to see who blinks first.
We'll see how this plays out.
www.stratfor.com...
Fissures are already widening in Hezbollah over the group’s relationship with Iran. The more dovish faction led by Secretary-General Sheikh Hassan
Nasrallah has been extremely wary of Hezbollah bearing the brunt of the blowback in Iran’s escalating conflict with Israel and the United States.
But more hawkish figures like Nasrallah’s deputy, Sheikh Naim Qassem, have remained more tightly aligned with Tehran. Syria is watching developments
in the region and monitoring the potential for another military conflict between Israel and Hezbollah in Lebanon either in the lead-up to or aftermath
of a potential military strike against Iran. Syria has no interest in getting embroiled in such a conflict, but it does see an opportunity on the
horizon as these rifts within Hezbollah continue to widen.
