Quake Watch 2010

reply to post by muzzy


Based on those figures the trend would suggest between 8 and 10 in the remainder of the year.



Only one of those needs to be an 8+ to seriously increase the energy release.

Edit: Years were visually wrong

[edit on 11/8/2010 by PuterMan]

Finally it arrived

Magnitude 3.0
Date-Time

* Monday, August 09, 2010 at 06:12:19 UTC
* Monday, August 09, 2010 at 12:12:19 AM at epicenter
* Time of Earthquake in other Time Zones

Location 43.614°N, 110.436°W
Depth 7 km (4.3 miles)
Region WYOMING
Distances 30 km (20 miles) ENE of Jackson, Wyoming
65 km (40 miles) W of Dubois, Wyoming
95 km (60 miles) NNW of Pinedale, Wyoming
540 km (335 miles) WNW of CHEYENNE, Wyoming
Location Uncertainty horizontal +/- 0.7 km (0.4 miles); depth +/- 1.5 km (0.9 miles)
Parameters NST= 34, Nph= 34, Dmin=13.6 km, Rmss=0.28 sec, Gp= 65°,
M-type=duration magnitude (Md), Version=2
Source

* Earthquake Studies Office, Montana Bureau of Mines and Geology

Event ID mb10706162

Very strange that it arrived an hour or two after I contacted JL and gave him all the details.

[edit]
Note it still says:

This is a computer-generated message -- this event has not yet been reviewed by a seismologist.

[edit]

This was the list - the red one is deleted


This is the list now. Yellow amended, green added.


[edit on 11/8/2010 by PuterMan]

reply to post by PuterMan


Thanks for taking the time to do that, so thats what the poly trend line does then? show the extension onwards.
I seen that on my Excel but thought it was too "general" to use.

reply to post by PuterMan


The Power Us and ATS

edit - never mind - tomorrow

[edit on 11-8-2010 by Anmarie96]

reply to post by muzzy


From the Excel Help:

A polynomial trendline is a curved line that is used when data fluctuates. It is useful, for example, for analyzing gains and losses over a large data set. The order of the polynomial can be determined by the number of fluctuations in the data or by how many bends (hills and valleys) appear in the curve. An Order 2 polynomial trendline generally has only one hill or valley. Order 3 generally has one or two hills or valleys. Order 4 generally has up to three hills or valleys.

I tend to use 3 or 4 for most of the earthquake stuff.

I just felt a quake from in southern Ecuador, which usually means it must have been somewhat big as we don't get quakes in southern parts. It was either in northern end of Ecuador or northern end of Peru -- I have family member in northern end near Quito -- will try to find out details. Any help would be much appreciated!

Edit: Preliminary report on USGS was 7.2, 140 km (85 miles) E of Ambato, Ecuador (around 105 miles south east of Quito).

It's now been downgraded to a magnitude 6.9


[edit on 12/8/10 by Navieko]

Aug 12 (Reuters) - A strong 6.9 magnitude earthquake struck Ecuador on Thursday, the U.S. Geological Survey said.

The quake struck at 1154 GMT and was centered 87 miles (140 km) east of Ambato, at a depth of 115 miles (185 km).

The USGS initially reported the quake as 6.7 magnitude, then revised the strength to 7.2, before putting the figure at 6.9.

The U.S. Pacific Tsunami Warning Center said that a tsunami did not appear to be generated, based on historical models.



Thats quite some chopping and changing by the USGS there

The Ecuador quake follow the same patterns as most quakes in that particular area when it comes to depth.

Well that's interesting... just gave the family member a call, he's roughly 105 miles north west from the epicenter -- and didn't even know there was a quake!

I'm approximately 240 miles south west of the epicenter and my room was shaking for about 10 seconds!

Can someone please explain to me how is that even possible?

I was shock to see that earthquake in Ecuador since I am from there, in the map appears in the Oriente area which is where our part of the amazon begins, I was reading local newspaper and it was felt in Guayaquil.. 6.9 it is strong one.. it is deep. I wonder if that can trigger some volcano activity..

140 km (85 miles) E of Ambato, Ecuador ...
145 km (90 miles) ENE of Riobamba, Ecuador
160 km (100 miles) SSW of Nueva Loja, Ecuador
170 km (105 miles) SE of QUITO, Ecuador

reply to post by tierrafragil


I'm currently just south of Loja and even I felt it pretty good... it woke me up straight away!

Souht of Loja you are far from its epicenter, same as Guayaquil, I wonder how people in Ambato and Baños felt it, .. Are you from Ecuador?

reply to post by coffeesniffer

The U.S. Pacific Tsunami Warning Center said that a tsunami did not appear to be generated, based on historical models.

Love it! Would it have been an earth tsunami if one had been generated?

It would be more accurate to say:

Of course there was no tsunami, the quake was on land!

Originally posted by PuterMan
reply to post by coffeesniffer

 

The U.S. Pacific Tsunami Warning Center said that a tsunami did not appear to be generated, based on historical models.

Love it! Would it have been an earth tsunami if one had been generated?

It would be more accurate to say:

Of course there was no

tsunami, the quake was on land!

LOL.. It was felt in the whole country local news is saying now... no tsunami but there is an active volcano near by... lets see how it develops.

reply to post by tierrafragil


I see USGS has changed their mind yet again and upgraded it to 7.1

reply to post by coffeesniffer


Yep. I had just seen that myself.

Interesting depth.

Magnitude 7.1
Date-Time Thursday, August 12, 2010 at 11:54:16 UTC
Thursday, August 12, 2010 at 06:54:16 AM at epicenter
Time of Earthquake in other Time Zones

Location 1.260°S, 77.312°W
Depth 211 km (131.1 miles) set by location program
Region ECUADOR

earthquake.usgs.gov...

[edit on 12-8-2010 by lasertaglover]

One more Magnitude 7 Quake goes into the statistic... ;P

Great to hear from someone who felt a quake for a change
Did you fill in a Felt Report at USGS?

It was a very strong quake by the look of it, shows up on all the network siesmographs, even the South Pole
www.ceme.gsras.ru...

I hate to keep going on about the magnitude, but again there are some discrepencies.
USGS currently has it as 7.1Mw and 6.4mb
EMSC the same, they use a combination of NEIR and GEOFON station readings
GEOFON is down to 6.9 (unknown type) but there are a lot of 7+ readings on their phase data
RAC at 6.7mb

I have no idea why I am here at this hour, its 3:30 am here , couldn't sleep.

Noticed there havent been any after shocks in ECUADOR.... Is this normal?

reply to post by muzzy


Go to bed!!!

There will be 6 more 7+ and an 8.3 by the end of this year. Around Feb of next year there will be between a 6.5 and 7.3 in Greece. This quake will lie within a 450km radius of 37N, 25E

How do I know? I don't - it is a guess! Call it intuition, or more likely actually, 'in tuition' which is really where I should be making statements like that.

Bookmark this post so you can make fun of me at the end of the year!

[edit to add lat/lon]

[edit on 12/8/2010 by PuterMan]