posted on Dec, 21 2009 @ 11:52 PM
I posted this on another forum but would like to share it here as well:
As we all know from the UFO phenomenon, jumping to a wrong conclusion about range to an apparition can lead to subsequent missteps in estimating size,
motion, and illumination conditions.
The standard launch profile for SLBMs out of the White Sea is eastwards towards the Kamchatka impact zone. Rare occasions have seen launches towards
Novaya Zemlya but that would have provided a fast moving profile of the staging sequences, inconsistent with the Tromso reports.
Previous SLBM tests have been seen at other points along the standard trajectory, such as Arkhangelsk and Murmansk. This time, those sites were
clouded over and too close to sunrise for seeing any celestial apparition behind a too-bright pre-sunrise sky.
Airborne witnesses have also seen and described phenomena of the SLBM-launch genre, the most famous being the September 1984 ("exactly 4:10 AM")
classic Soviet-era UFO. I would expect planes in the air over NW Russia and Scandinavia predawn on December 9 ought to have gotten views of the
apparition, potentially from better angles farther south -- unless a too-bright sky washed out the visibility even when above the widespread cloud
Most intriguing to me is the frequency with which these earlier witnesses (1980s and 1990s) also saw and sketched SPIRAL shapes [no camcorder records
of such previous spirals exist, to my knowledge, which is not surprising considering the level of video tools available to the general public in those
decades). These spirals, described as rapidly expanding radially from a central point, were seen during observations of different types of rockets,
including some missions which successfully placed payloads into orbit. This is suggestive, in my view, of a hypothesis that the spiral, then and now,
is not a 'bug' (a consequence of a failure) but a 'feature' (result of a deliberate action on the upper stage).
The geometry of the line of sight from Tromso can be approximated using ICBM ascent profiles, perhaps with tweaking for the Bulava which advertises a
much higher-G climb out and a 'depressed' trajectory -- two features deliberately engineered into the vehicle to make it more resistant to US
boost-phase ABM weapons.
Such a trajectory is consistent with the Tromso videos showing a very low white cloud zig-zag (a classic ICBM smoke trail distorted by wind shears,
backlit by the pre-dawn sun) followed by a hazy expanding arching line showing the track of rocket nozzle ejecta impacting the thin lower ionosphere
(I've seen such chemoluminescent glow during full-dark rocket launchings from both Florida and California), a haze that would easily hang for several
minutes before dispersing and also being overcome by growing dawn glare.
The spiral is a magnificent phenomenon for which jump-to explanations -- and the requisite evidence-shaping and selecting that ANY too-premature
conclusion forces on a researcher -- need to be avoided. I note that the spin rate of the ejector object, as close as I could measure it, appears to
be constant [please make independent verifications of this], and the motion of any released quantum of spiral-marker also appears to be purely radial
outwards from the dispenser, at an angular rate that seemed constant within measurement uncertainty.
That angular rate should be expected to vary, assuming the absolute dispersal velocity remained constant. For any significant change in absolute range
over the period of spiral formation, that might be expected to create a change in angular velocity, which if measurable would provide an indication of
actual range and sense of motion. But my own attempted measurements were not fine enough to differentiate different potential geometrical/motion
models. I invite serious investigators to try harder and report back.
The material comprising the spiral trail came from two separate points on the dispersal object, hence the double trail. And both dispersals are
observed to terminate simultaneously and instantly. They do not tail off, or sputter, which I interpret as an indication that the dispersal, and its
termination, was deliberately engineered for reasons not yet clear.
Considering the very high departure velocity of the ICBM at this stage and its still being on an ascent path, the spiral seeming to hang
'motionless' in the sky is an entirely reasonable consequence of its actual ballistic motion and the geometry of the observer's location.