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Originally posted by fleabit
Intelligent life in our galaxy alone may actually be quite diverse and indeed, abundant.
It's a typical human mindset to accept we were the "lucky" and unique little snowflake planet. Heck, you could be stoned, hung or imprisoned in our not so distant past, for suggesting our planet wasn't the center of everything.
Was our planet the "lottery winner" in our galaxy alone? I highly doubt that.
I think it's obvious life is elsewhere. Asking the probability of life in the universe is akin to asking the chances of popcorn being on the floor of a movie theater after a movie. I guess I don't get the point.
The State of the Onion – Where Are We in The UFO/ET Issue in 2009? Peeling Back the Layers
Victor Viggiani, B.A. M.Ed.October 19, 2009
"We are all in the gutter, but some of us are looking at the stars." Oscar Wilde
"Participation in North American democracy is largely based on the belief that citizens should never be released into the world until they have been properly sedated."
Quote from an unknown Convocation Address
Since 1947 or perhaps much earlier the UFO/ET issue burst onto the scene. The matter has been investigated, scrutinized, ridiculed, stigmatized, written about and toss about like a piece of red-hot coal for over 60 years.
Generally, humanity, world governments, the military and their intelligence communities have managed to ignore, cover-up and avoid the issue publicly – like a third boxer in the ring that neither the opponents nor referee can see. These intelligence communities have deftly managed the issue internally, using their own clear understanding - the UFO/ET issue is real and a matter of fact and record. They have also managed several critical blows to the head that the UFO research community may not survive. But the piper and the men behind the curtain may not be able to stop us from peeling away the layers to the core of the onion and the truth. Hope tells us we must expect no less.
Originally posted by ZetaRediculian
reply to post by engineer418
In purely mathematical terms, I would say zero. We really can't say for certain that life exists outside our planet. Regardless of the rationale that there just has to be life out there, it has not been found or observed or anything else. It's trying to determine the probability of something ocurring with the sample size of exactly 1.
For instance, we have 1 known occurrence of a 3 butt monkey out of millions and millions of monkeys. Now calculate the odds that one has hid in my closet at some point.
it's something that we know intuitively some how but I don't know how it's possible to calculate probabilities unless assumptions are made.
Well, actually there are indicators of life outside of Earth. But, be that as it may, it is both ossible to compute theoretical probabilities, or arrive at a consensus.