Originally posted by crimvelvet
I LOVE Statistics, they make it so easy to lie...
Not really. The issue is in the framing of the question, not the statistics. For example...
WASHINGTON (CNN) - Six in 10 Americans support a "cap and trade" proposal to cut pollution, according to a new national poll.
Sixty percent of those questioned in a CNN/Opinion Research Corporation survey say they favor "cap and trade," a Democratic sponsored plan in which
the federal government would limit the amount of greenhouse gases that companies could produce in their factories or power plants. Thirty-seven
percent oppose the proposal, which would penalize companies that exceed greenhouse gas limits with fines or by making those businesses pay money to
other companies that producer smaller amounts of pollution.
link
60% support C&T in a CNN poll.
17. On another subject, overall, given what you know about them, would you say you support or oppose the proposed changes to U.S. energy policy
being developed by (Congress) and (the Obama administration)? Do you feel that way strongly or somewhat?
-------- Support -------- --------- Oppose -------- No
NET Strongly Somewhat NET Somewhat Strongly opinion
8/17/09 57 29 29 29 11 19 14
21. There's a proposed system called "cap and trade." The government would issue permits limiting the amount of greenhouse gases companies can put
out. Companies that did not use all their permits could sell them to other companies. The idea is that many companies would find ways to put out less
greenhouse gases, because that would be cheaper than buying permits. Would you support or oppose this system?
Support Oppose No opinion
8/17/09 52 43 6
6/21/09 52 42 6
7/28/08 59 34 7
22. (HALF SAMPLE) What if a cap and trade program significantly lowered greenhouse gases but raised your monthly electrical bill by 10 dollars a month
- in that case would you support or oppose it?
Support Oppose No opinion
8/17/09 58 40 1
6/21/09 56 42 2
7/28/08 57 41 2
linky
Majority for ABC-WaPo for a pretty dense C&T question, even higher for a question at levels comparable to actual costs. And 57% for just a simple
question about the Energy bill.
In a poll obtained by POLITICO of likely 2010 voters in 16 states, many of them home to targeted senators, 63 percent of those sampled said they
supported the energy bill while only 30 percent said they opposed the measure.
Further, 60 percent of respondents said they would be more likely to vote for their senator if he or she supported the bill while just 26 percent said
they’d be less inclined to re-elect their senator for backing the “American Clean Energy and Security Act.”
linky
63% supporting current Energy/Climate bill.
Zogby Poll: Majority Favors Clean Energy Bill and Wants Senate to Take Action
Survey finds likely voters connect reducing global warming and promoting clean energy to new American jobs
UTICA, New York - A majority of likely voters - 71% - favors the American Clean Energy and Security Act recently passed by the House of
Representatives, and two-thirds (67%) believe Congress is either doing the right amount (22%) or should be doing more (45%) to address global warming,
new Zogby International telephone poll shows. Just 28% believe that Congress is doing too much.
linky
Here 71% support the Energy/Climate bill.
So, the Rasmussen poll is pretty much an outlier, with other polls ranging between 50-70% support. Where the 'lies' appear is in the wording of the
questions. First thing you learn about writing questionnaires.
The best example is the ABC-WaPo. The support for the Energy bill is 57%, but falls to 52% when provided in a more complex fashion. Purely a framing
issue, as the Energy bill is a C&T program.
So lets take Rasmussen...
To generate cleaner energy and fight global warming, it might cost Americans more money each year in taxes and utility costs. How much are you
willing to pay each year in higher taxes and utility costs?
Nothing
$100
$300
$500
$1,000
More than $,1,000
Not sure
Who's proposing that americans pay both more taxes and utility costs? The word 'tax' is like a red-rag to you bullish yanks. Also, if you offer
people the option of paying nothing, of course people will choose it, lol. The power of 'zero'.
What is more important, developing clean, environmentally friendly sources of energy or keeping the cost of energy as low as possible?
Why not keep it as low as possible and also develop clean sources of energy? Isn't that the point?
What is more important, taking steps to stop global warming or creating jobs?
Again, why trade one off against the other in such a way?
The framing of the Rasmussen questions is dreadful. In each case they put some ambiguous negative aspect in opposition to climate action (lose jobs to
save climate! Do you prefer to pay nothing to act on climate! High cost energy to act on climate!)
Whereas in each case the other polls compare clearer positions (Democrat energy bill or Republican Luntzisms? Good reduction of CO2 for $10 per
month?) or just ask a straight up question (support C&T?).
So the deceptions are in the questions, not the stats. The stats are just the numbers.
[edit on 9-11-2009 by melatonin]