posted on Nov, 16 2009 @ 04:58 PM
To those speculating that these news mean that Russia is giving a go ahead to any attack on Iran - it's not happening. Russia may have backed out of
the S-300 deal to foster better relations with US and Israel, but it does not mean that it changed its overall stance on Iran.
Fact is, that Russia is strongly against any attack on Iran, or any other Central Asian/Middle East nation. This is not because the Russian
government supports the Iranian regime, but because it does not want to see US influence and control in region expanded. The US and Israeli actions
are highly destabilizing to the region. As far as Iran goes, all Russia wants is to retain a status quo in respect to US influence.
Notice how Russia started cooperating with Iran more and more as US invaded Afghanistan and Iraq. The invasion of Iraq in particular was the spark
that set this whole thing off, and since then Russia has been very cautious about the intentions of the US War on Terror. And America's aggressive
rhetoric towards Iraq ever since has not helped. In order to regain Russia's trust (and that of many other nations), the US must demonstrate that it
no longer has hostile intentions and no longer wants to expand its empire into Central Asia.
So no - Russia will not support any military action against Iran, at least for the time being. But it has shown that it is willing to reciprocate
US' concessions. In military terms, the S-300 does not change much as far as Iran's defense goes. Iran may whine about Russia backing out of the
sale, but as of now it has nothing to worry about. The US cannot attack Iran, nor can Israel. Even bombing of select targets is out of the question
(invasion would be next to impossible). Initiation of any military actions against Iran will have very serious ramifications for the region and
US/Israel's interests there for decades to come. The threat that Iran poses now is nothing compared to the threat that it may pose in case such an
So in summary this news only demonstrates that Russia is willing to have dialogue with the US on certain foreign policy issues. As for Iran - it is
not really in a position to warn Russia. It holds nothing over Russia, and has no bargaining power with it. Iran may turn to China to buy similar
SAM systems, but it is questionable if China is willing to sell to them.