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Originally posted by apacheman
reply to post by ecoparity
Thanks for the link.
One thing painfully clear looking at it though is that the deaths are underreported everywhere. With the new figures released by the CDC, the totals make a huge jump. If other countries are similarly under-counting, and this thing's accelerating as it looks to be, what's January gonna be like?
Thailand's North has alerted of the bird flu outbreak after almost 100 poultries died recently in a northern province of Nan. As Thailand's North is now experiencing the winter, during Oct.7 to Nov. 5 some 79 poultries died in six districts of Nan province, a senior official at Nan's livestock department said Thursday. The department collected some examples of the dead poultries and sent them to a nearby province of Lam-pang, where a regional office of the National Institute of Animal Health, is located, to examine, the official said. It will take about two weeks to know if the dead poultries were affected with the bird flu or A/H1N1 influenza, the official said.
One question that I still have, are these the number of cases with flu AND acute respiratory illness? Or cases of flu OR respiratory illness?
Viktor Yushchenko and Alyaksandr Lukashenka are to visit the Ukrainian one of the Ukrainian regions affected by swine flu epidemic. The Ukrainian president told this during the joint press conference in Kiev, UNIAN reports. Yushchenko didn’t say which of the regions is meant. He added his Belarusian colleague wouldn’t come empty-handed. Russian “Novye Izvestiya” reports that the Belarusian ruler and Viktor Yushchenko will visit Ivano-Frankovsk (the epidemic center) and bring humanitarian aid from Minsk. As we have already reported, Alyaksandr Lukashenka said yesterday that people “shouldn’t panic” about A(H1N1) flu. “Let’s be sincere – we stopped crowing about “bird” flu. The whole world was crowing. They probably sold everything relating to avian flu, now they are squealing likes pigs. Will we purr or bleat tomorrow?” Lukashenka wondered. “The flu, even swine flu, is not incurable plague or cholera, it can be treated,” the Belarusian president said. “We are able to cope with it, and Ukraine is able too. Do not fear, do not aggravate the situation,” Lukashenka stated. He Belarus was ready to produce medical face masks for Ukraine if necessary: “We have a gauze-producing factory, if protective masks are needed Mr Viktor and I will make them and deliver. But you must buy them, I know, you’ll stop buying them in a week.” We remind, even according to official data, the number of swine flu cases in Belarus is 4.5-fold higher than in Ukraine. The drugstores don not have anti-flu medicines, including Tamiflu, the medication the whole world use to treat A(H1N1) virus. Belarusian drugstores lack the most required things – medical face masks, Unguentum Oxolini, and even cevitamic acid.
Belarus Reports Almost 1/4 Million Flu Cases Recombinomics Commentary 23:32 November 10, 2009 The press service of the Gomel regional executive committee BelaPAN reported that in the Gomel region died of pneumonia eight people. Pneumonia was diagnosed in 827 people, including a 643 adults and 184 children. According to the press service of Belarus continues to rise in the incidence of influenza and acute respiratory infections (ARI). From 2 to 9 November in 18 cities of the republic controls 223,349 registered cases of influenza and ARI. Among the control of cities, the highest incidence rates of influenza and ARI recorded in Rechitsa, Gomel, Mozyr, Molodechno, Mogilev, Vitebsk, Borisov, Minsk, Soligorsk. In the region from 2 to 9 November diagnosed with influenza and acute respiratory infections (ARI), put 48,752 people, of which the proportion of children was 49% (24051), adults - 51% (24701). Share hospitalized was 2.7% (1,299 people). Among the hospitalized children predominate (60%). At all administrative territories of the Gomel region introduced a set of preventive measures. In connection with a high incidence in Gomel region on November 9 in 169 schools and three vocational training institutions suspended the learning process. The above translation describes a significant influenza outbreak in Belarus, which has many similarities with Ukraine. Eight pneumonia deaths have been reported in Gomel, which is adjacent to the Kiev Oblast in Ukraine (see map). In the latest report from Ukraine, the largest increases in cases were in Kiev and Kiev Oblast. In addition, 10 suspect H1N1 deaths in Minsk have been reported suggesting that the deaths may also be linked to H1N1 and hemorrhagic pneumonia. 90 such fatalities were described in Ukraine, and the total disintegration of both lungs is similar to cases described in the United States and Mexico, as well as cases in 1918. The cases in Belarus are widespread and the numbers cited for Gomel would be above the epidemic threshold. Most areas in Ukraine are also above the epidemic threshold, while the remaining areas are near the threshold. These high rates are driven by H1N1 because levels of other seasonal flu's throughout Europe and North America are negligible. Well over 99% of sub-typed flu is swine H1N1. The deaths in Belarus and Ukraine raise concerns that there have been small genetic changes in the virus position 225. These changes (D225G, D225N, and D225E) have been reported in multiple swine H1N1 isolates, including recent isolates from fatal cases in Sau Paulo, Brazil. The expanding number of cases and fatalities increases concerns created by the delay in the release of H1N1 sequences from Ukraine
According to official data, the number of A(H1N1) pandemic have increased by 63 in Belarus over the last four days. According to the Ministry of Health of Belarus, 165 laboratory confirmed cases of A(H1N1) flu have been detected since May 2009 BelaPAN reports. As of November 9, the Republican Scientific and Research Center of Epidemiology and Microbiology, 128 laboratory confirmed cases of diseases caused by A(H1N1) virus. Deputy minister of health and chief sanitary officer Valyantsina Kachan said on November 8 that 102 cases were recorded in Belarus. According to official information (as of November 4) 7 persons died from swine flu. Thus, in accordance with official statistics, the number of patients suffering from swine flu has increased by 63 over four days.
Nearly A Quarter Million Flu Cases in Belarus: WHO Remains Silent on Ukraine Plague As flu cases in Belarus near the quarter million mark, the World Health Organization (WHO) still remains silent on the gene sequences and cause of the pneumonic plague that has infected well over one million people in the Ukraine. According to the press service of Belarus, there were 223,349 registered cases of influenza and acute respiratory illness (ARI) in less than eight days from November 2-9. Among the control of cities, the highest incidence rates of influenza and ARI were recorded in Rechitsa, Gomel, Mozyr, Molodechno, Mogilev, Vitebsk, Borisov, Minsk, Soligorsk. In connection with a high incidence in the Gomel region, preventive measures were introduced in all its administrative territories including 169 schools and three vocational training institutions were suspended. As in the Ukraine, the WHO and Belarus government are not releasing the actual number deaths which are currently being suppressed. Dr. Donald Lau had stated in a previous report that the chances of the Ukrainian pandemic being the same H1N1 virus were statistically low since the high viral transmission rates were unusual for H1N1. He also stated that "there must have been some misrepresentation of actual deaths versus infection rates." The cases in Belarus are widespread and the numbers cited for Gomel are above the epidemic threshold just as they are across the Ukraine. The symptoms being observed in Belarus mimic those of the Ukraine indicating it may be the same biological agent which has infected both countries. The symptoms that were reported in the Ukraine were observed at different stages of the disease - a fever with a temperature over 38 C, cough, respiratory disorders. When cough was characterized by negligible allocation phlegm or dry unproductive cough with blotches of blood. All the patients come to hospital on average by 3-7 days of onset, were in serious condition. Period of time from onset to death averaged from 4 to 7 days. In all patients during a hospital for signs of respiratory insufficiency of various degrees, which quickly rose and manifested accelerated respiration rate, shortness of breath and effectiveness of independent breathing. X-ray studies were performed on 1-2 day hospitalization. Most patients experienced a double-headed particles of lower lung lesion, followed by a trend towards total destruction of the pulmonary system. The Belarusian Health Ministry had confirmed that deaths are being attributed to acute pneumonia. Although the number of fatalities in Belarus are increasing, and may rival Ukraine, announcements of sequencing data are still being delayed by the WHO, raising concerns of a covert operation to withhold critical information that should be made public.