Purdue researchers: H1N1 about to peak

www.wlfi.com...

WEST LAFAYETTE, Ind. (WLFI) - Two Purdue University math researchers have predicted the novel H1N1 flu will peak so early that planned vaccinations will not have a large effect on the number of people infected.

Sherry Towers, from Purdue's statistics department, and Zhilan Feng, from Purdue's math department, used a mathematical model to predict the spread of the disease. They used data collected by the Centers for Disease Control in May, June, July and August.

The result? The model predicted that H1N1 infections will reach their peak in either the week before or the week after Halloween.

The researchers said this early peak for the disease mean that the vaccination campaign will only reduce infections by, at most, 6%. However, as the model also predicted that 63% of the US population will have been infected by the end of the year, a 6% reduction could still mean that the vaccinations could save thousands of lives.

Originally posted by severdsoul
reply to post by uplander

espicaly if it is mutating, if they have hint that a much worse version is emerging and they have no meds to do anything to stop it, the only recourse would be to stop / slow the spread , and the only way to do that is to limt travel.

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Originally posted by Laurauk
reply to post by Fromabove

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I know all of that. What I meant by let us know what is happening, if there is any state troops out on the streets, any centres being set up, new channels in the US running Government Propoganda on being a good us citizen and going for your vaccination jabs etc.

I apologise if I did not come across clear enough
.

A state of emergency is a governmental declaration that may suspend certain normal functions of government, alert citizens to alter their normal behaviors, or order government agencies to implement emergency preparedness plans. It can also be used as a rationale for suspending civil liberties. Such declarations usually come during a time of natural disaster, during periods of civil disorder, or following a declaration of war (in democratic countries, many call this martial law, most with non-critical intent). Justitium is its equivalent in Roman law.

In some countries, the state of emergency and its effects on civil liberties and governmental procedure are regulated by the constitution, or a law that limits the powers that may be invoked or rights that may be suspended during an emergency. In many countries, it is illegal to modify the emergency law or constitution during the emergency.


Use and viewpoints

Though fairly uncommon in democracies, dictatorial regimes often declare a state of emergency that is prolonged indefinitely for the life of the regime[citation needed]. In some situations, martial law is also declared, allowing the military greater authority to act.

For state parties that are signatories to the International Covenant on Civil and Political Rights (ICCPR), Article 4 permits states to derogate from certain rights guaranteed by the ICCPR in "time of public emergency". Any measures derogating from obligations under the convention, however, must only be to the extent required by the exigencies of the situation, and must be announced by the state party to the Secretary-General of the United Nations.

Some political theorists, such as Carl Schmitt, have argued that the power to decide the initiation of the state of emergency defines sovereignty itself. In State of Exception (2005), Giorgio Agamben criticized this idea, arguing that the mechanism of the state of emergency deprives certain people of their civil rights, producing his interpretation of homo sacer.[1]