Here comes an other one... [Indonesian earthquake calculated, more to come!!]

reply to post by operation mindcrime

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Well numbers seem to be going down again on USGS (177 as of Wed Oct. 28 16:00 UTC) and the next full moon is coming up again (2 Nov. 19:00 2009)......

So i guess we will be seeing some action around the weekend (Fri 10-30-2009 to Sun 11-01-2009)..

As for the location, well the Indonesian region would be an easy one so i'm gonna go with the westcoast of south America or the Mexican region...

Magnitute should be above 7.5.......

Peace

Hmmm... you make it look easy!

I will go with a 7+ in a country whose name ends in "stan". West coast of S. America only looks primed for a 6.5 - 7.0 but I gotta respect you going on a limb for 7.5+ Maybe it will be near Panama?

The wild card for me is New Madrid region in the US. It is showing a slightly higher cluster of tiny quakes so it makes one wonder if it is getting ready for something larger. Then again, that one usually is an 'all or nothing region' so I would not say anything larger than 5 would be expected without further warning.

reply to post by nydsdan

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Nydsdan,

thanks for joining in on guessing were the next one will be....

I really don't know about the New Madrid area or Yellowstone because i believe those are hotspots underneath the North American plate and not directly linked to the shifting of those plates.

I do however get the impression that the Pacific plate is turning counterclockwise with a big pressure release which we saw last month round the Indonesia-area. My logic tells me that will result in a pressure increase around the Nazca and Cocosplate.....

Is this a prelude of things to come now that we are getting closer to a full moon??

Magnitude 5.4
Date-Time Thursday, October 29, 2009 at 10:52:57 UTC
Thursday, October 29, 2009 at 04:52:57 AM at epicenter
Time of Earthquake in other Time Zones

Location 19.061°N, 95.469°W
Depth 10 km (6.2 miles) set by location program
Region OFFSHORE VERACRUZ, MEXICO
Distances 70 km (45 miles) NNW of San Andres Tuxtla, Veracruz, Mexico
70 km (45 miles) ESE of Veracruz, Veracruz, Mexico
125 km (80 miles) NNE of Tuxtepec, Oaxaca, Mexico
390 km (240 miles) E of MEXICO CITY, D.F., Mexico

Location Uncertainty horizontal +/- 5.7 km (3.5 miles); depth fixed by location program
Parameters NST=167, Nph=167, Dmin=765.6 km, Rmss=0.93 sec, Gp=169°,
M-type=teleseismic moment magnitude (Mw), Version=7
Source USGS NEIC (WDCS-D)

We'll see what happens......

Peace


[edit on 29/10/2009 by operation mindcrime]

reply to post by nydsdan

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Nydsdan,

USGS is on 153 as we speak so it's looking like today or maybe tomorrow is the day. I really have to give you credits for this :

Peace

Ok, I'll give it a shot..

From the data I've been watching, the Pacific plate's pressure is now affecting the subduction zone off the coast of Seattle and north to Washington state. (Off the coast).

I expect at least a 7.0 or greater off the coast, or in the bay areas of Oregon or Washington states. If you live near the coastline, please be prepared.

Hmmm... using the moon phase theory, I was expecting a lot more mag 6+ quakes over the past 5 to 7 days. In fact, since it has been so quiet, I am starting to suspect that one of us will be right with our predictions.

In another thread a month or so ago I tried to correlate moon phase to big quakes. The larger quakes seemed to pop +/- 3 to 7 days from a full moon, but rarely inside 3 days.

The full moon was Nov 2. We are just now leaving the +/- 3 day window and entering the 3-7 day window on the outside of this full moon. If a large quake is to occur, it may happen between Nov 6 and Nov 9. Probably closer to the 6th but Mother Earth is rarely right on time.

I'd say the relative quiet around India down to New Guinea (along the western edge of the pacific plate) along with some activity in Afghanistan/Pakistan and the Pacific NorthWest may reinforce the theory that tension is building with the counter-clockwise rotation of the plate. If this is the case, then it may be 'stuck' where the next larger quake will be.

In summary, if the pacific plate is making CCW movement and getting 'stuck' somewhere, then where could it be getting stuck? The quakes in Afghanistan/Pakistan may have been from the pacific plate pushing (or squeezing) the Indo-Australian plate. The Indo-Australian plate 'giving' a touch may have allowed the recent movement in the Pacific NW. If this is the case, then the Nazca plate (South America) or the region around Japan may be the locations at risk.

Or... I don't know what I am talking about.

[edit on 4-11-2009 by nydsdan]