Hmmm... you make it look easy!

I will go with a 7+ in a country whose name ends in "stan". West coast of S. America only looks primed for a 6.5 - 7.0 but I gotta respect you going on a limb for 7.5+ Maybe it will be near Panama?

The wild card for me is New Madrid region in the US. It is showing a slightly higher cluster of tiny quakes so it makes one wonder if it is getting ready for something larger. Then again, that one usually is an 'all or nothing region' so I would not say anything larger than 5 would be expected without further warning.

Ok, I'll give it a shot..

From the data I've been watching, the Pacific plate's pressure is now affecting the subduction zone off the coast of Seattle and north to Washington state. (Off the coast).

I expect at least a 7.0 or greater off the coast, or in the bay areas of Oregon or Washington states. If you live near the coastline, please be prepared.

Hmmm... using the moon phase theory, I was expecting a lot more mag 6+ quakes over the past 5 to 7 days. In fact, since it has been so quiet, I am starting to suspect that one of us will be right with our predictions.

In another thread a month or so ago I tried to correlate moon phase to big quakes. The larger quakes seemed to pop +/- 3 to 7 days from a full moon, but rarely inside 3 days.

The full moon was Nov 2. We are just now leaving the +/- 3 day window and entering the 3-7 day window on the outside of this full moon. If a large quake is to occur, it may happen between Nov 6 and Nov 9. Probably closer to the 6th but Mother Earth is rarely right on time.

I'd say the relative quiet around India down to New Guinea (along the western edge of the pacific plate) along with some activity in Afghanistan/Pakistan and the Pacific NorthWest may reinforce the theory that tension is building with the counter-clockwise rotation of the plate. If this is the case, then it may be 'stuck' where the next larger quake will be.

In summary, if the pacific plate is making CCW movement and getting 'stuck' somewhere, then where could it be getting stuck? The quakes in Afghanistan/Pakistan may have been from the pacific plate pushing (or squeezing) the Indo-Australian plate. The Indo-Australian plate 'giving' a touch may have allowed the recent movement in the Pacific NW. If this is the case, then the Nazca plate (South America) or the region around Japan may be the locations at risk.

Or... I don't know what I am talking about.

[edit on 4-11-2009 by nydsdan]

Originally posted by operation mindcrime
Well it's that time of the month again and before some webbot enthusiast or other prediction-generating official states that a major earthquake will occure around a certain date, allow me to have a wack at it without the help of any clairvoyant drivel....
...
So the official prediction would be:

Big quake, somewere between the 1ste and the 90th parallel. Magnitute >7.0, within the timeframe of 2-5 October 2009.....

Good luck everybody and strap down those heavy objects around the house!!!

Uh-huh, I see ... the revised prediction, re-revised and further revised and so on. Perhaps you should have used the "clairvoyant drivel" after all.

I too watch the quake page daily, for the past ten or more years. On the two December Indonesian quakes they BOTH were preceded by a quake storm on Fox and Rat Islands, Alaska. The second Indonesian one I predicted (to my sister) based on the Fox/Rat observation the year before when I saw a repeat of the Fox/Rat storm of tremors. Works!

Currently, I'm more enthralled with the California/Baja area and trying to figure out what clues make it tick.

Oh, i forgot...

If this "cycle" will bring us an other big shake then i think the Mid atlantic ridge is due for an overhaul on the 40th parallel north, around 30 degrees west....

Could be a very interesting one!!

Peace

[edit on 4/1/2010 by operation mindcrime]

I really thought that it would have hit closer to the Azores (40th parallel north, around 30 degrees west) but apparently the stress build-up found a better release.....

Magnitude 7.0
Date-Time Tuesday, January 12, 2010 at 21:53:09 UTC
Tuesday, January 12, 2010 at 04:53:09 PM at epicenter
Time of Earthquake in other Time Zones

Location 18.451°N, 72.445°W

I really feel for the poor people of Haiti and i hope that all are well...

Peace

Edit: I do believe it might still be heading towards the Azores, so keep an eye on that Mid Atlantic ridge!!!

[edit on 12/1/2010 by operation mindcrime]

Let's see how this works out....

9 degrees south, 92 degrees west. Wednesday, January 27, 2010 at 12:00:00 UTC. Magnitude 7,3

Or....

9 degrees north, 82 degrees east. Wednesday, January 27, 2010 at 12:00:00 UTC. Magnitude 7,3


We'll see what happens...



Peace

[edit on 27/1/2010 by operation mindcrime]

well because of this...

Magnitude 5.2
Date-Time

* Wednesday, January 27, 2010 at 11:20:36 UTC
* Wednesday, January 27, 2010 at 10:20:36 AM at epicenter

Location 38.555°S, 15.911°W
Depth 9.9 km (6.2 miles)
Region TRISTAN DA CUNHA REGION

I am forced to reset the original timeframe from 12:00 today to...

Wednesday, January 27, 2010 at 20:35:00 UTC, magnitude 7.1

Locations remains the same.....

Peace


[edit on 27/1/2010 by operation mindcrime]

Originally posted by operation mindcrime
9 degrees north, 82 degrees east. Wednesday, January 27, 2010 at 20:35:00 UTC, magnitude 7.1

Just when you think you got it.

Magnitude 6.1
Date-Time

* Wednesday, January 27, 2010 at 18:49:33 UTC
* Thursday, January 28, 2010 at 02:49:33 AM at epicenter
* Time of Earthquake in other Time Zones

Location 13.684°N, 125.440°E

Magnitude 5.1
Date-Time

* Wednesday, January 27, 2010 at 19:00:33 UTC
* Thursday, January 28, 2010 at 04:00:33 AM at epicenter
* Time of Earthquake in other Time Zones

Location 7.126°S, 125.108°E

the force which was directed at the Indian plate dispersed over the entire area. More to come in about an hour or five??

We'll see..

Peace

[edit on 27/1/2010 by operation mindcrime]