By way of example of the probabilistically impossible odds of abiogenesis, consider the
May 31, 2007 paper published by Eugene V. Koonin of the National Center for
Biotechnology Information. Peer reviewed and published in Biology Today [2], Koonin
calculated the probability of the most simple life form arising by natural processes, with
the following conclusion:
...
the chance of life occurring by natural processes is 1 in 10 followed by 1018 zeros.
Koonin's intent was to show that short of postulating a multiverse of an infinite number of
universes, the chance of life occuring on earth is vanishingly small
From the 1st link from your 2nd: Origin of Life as Evidence of Intelligent Design
I say that attempting to determine statistical probabilities when we do not know the starting condition of the system under analysis is flawed science. However, taking Koonin @face value, or any of the other figures quoted by the article, the unlikelyhood of abiogenesis is evidence of nothing more than itself. It doesn't mean it didn't happen; it could mean we just dont know how it could yet; it could mean the earth was quite different then, or subject to external influences we have no way of determining; it could mean it didn't happen.
However, to jump to the conclusion it must mean there was a creator is unscientific, because there is no evidence of such, just speculation which cannot be tested by experiment or discovered by evidence. This is why religion should stay out of science: they are 2 completely different disciplines with no common methodology & precious little common language even.



