Originally posted by KSPigpen
...The State of Kansas says they aren't going to be doing as many tests any more. I don't think I like that. It's going to lead to misreported
numbers of infection. The numbers will end up like the unemployment figures, misreported for an agenda. Here is the part that bothered me the most.
The data is already skewed.
A few months ago, I predicted on my clan's gaming forum that the CDC and WHO would eventually reach lab saturation and would change their
reporting/testing requirements. This happened about the 3rd of July. You can see it in a plot made from the WHO data located at
www.who.int... ,
The red line is a plot of the reported cases, and the blue line is an extension of the growth rate up until 3 July. (blue = a projection)
This also allows you to see an interesting effect due to the less stringent reporting requirements. As the number of actual cases becomes less and
less accurate, the mortality rate will seem to climb since it is based on known infections verses deaths.
In the following graph, you will note that the death rate got to about 0.416% before starting it's slow climb. For comparison, the Wikipedia
reported death rates for two other pandemics are also noted.
[edit on 14-9-2009 by RoofMonkey]