reply posted on 3-4-2011 @ 04:34 AM by Butterbone
I'm sorry but in my opinion your tips are not really useful. I'm not trying to be disrespectful. I just think you are over dramatizing the reality
of a survival situation. These are unclear and misleading bullet points to intellectually comfort someone who has no plan, no ideas, and no clue.
These concepts you are describing are great if you want to theorize a very tactile story like a movie plot or a basis for a novel. But they are not
very good concepts to rely on if you want to survive a real SHTF situation.
Hide in plain sight? When survival is your goal, hiding in plain sight is ridiculous. Hiding is also not very useful to long term survival in a maze
box with potential thousands, to millions of other people. Urban survival is not and should not be a goal. Leaving the Urban environment should be
your primary goal.
Phone freaking? Really! 90% of phone freaking doesn't even work anymore. AND if the SHTF do you really think that the digital to analog switch boards
are going to be active and not flooded with machine signals from every emergency system in the nation activating at the same time or near the same
time. Forget cell phones, forget telephones. Hell forget telegraph. None of that is useful. Who exactly are you going to call? Your Auntie Flo in
Skogee Ohio, and ask her to mail you a sweater and an ak-47? Obviously if the phones are working then the mail is running.
Caching. Other than inside your own home, where are you going to cache in an urban environment that won't be picked over or inaccessible in a real
emergency. This is wasteful busy work disguised as prudent planning.
Making weapons and learning to fight? No. Making weapons is an ingrained human instinct. You don't have to tell people how to pick up something
heavy, or pointy and attack someone else with it. Our survival for the last million years has hinged on this. Weapons are important, but to imply that
the world is falling apart around you and your first plan is to run out the garden shed and start fabricating a halberd that you can use to fend off
people is almost a dangerously silly concept. Anything at hand that extends your natural reach or augments the amount of force you deliver if you
make contact, is a weapon. It's all the weapon you need. Because someone with a better weapon is not going to be impeded and someone without a weapon
is going to be your victim if they choose to. End of story. If you plan to plan for weaponeering, then you are planning to never be ready for what
your opponent may or may not have access to. So don't try to plan for an imaginary arms race.
Positive paranoia isn't useless, but it is a "movie" concept. Few people if any actively attempt to practice this paranoia you mention, and in
reality the best training you can give yourself is to learn to take control over your own body, once fear and adrenaline kick in. None of this
positive paranoia idea will mean much if your brain shuts down when the adrenaline hits and you revert to base instincts.
3 keys to survival. Distance, Speed, Weight.
Distance, The further you are away from groups of people the safer you are. Groups of people, even well intentioned, become aggressive, pack minded,
and easily corrupted by fear, prejudice, and over reaction. People who feel that they have nothing to lose will take any advantage, real or perceived
to ensure their own survival or the groups survival if the group has sheltered and provided for them. So get away from large population centers and
only group up with other people if you feel very secure about it.
Speed. If you can't move, you can't get away from problems. In a short term emergency situation, what you want ideally is to be able to walk under
your own power 10-15 miles a day, cutting that in half or quartered if you have to "sneek and hide" while you travel. If you can't move quickly the
probability is that someone is going to notice, you are come across you. In this case, whether you want it or not, you have entered into conflict. You
now have the conflict that someone, is aware of you. If you can, keep moving. Move away, be non threatening and try to present as little reason as
possible for them to be interested in you.
Weight. The enemy of speed is weight. If you want to attempt to load up a car with every picture and bauble your family has collected of umpteen
generations, please be my guest. I'll have a backpack with 3 days food and water, and some fire arms, and I'll be moving as quickly as I can away
from the area and "things" that are about to drag you down into a situation that will probably result in your end. Water for 3 days. Food for 3
days in the form of dried beans and noodles. Carbohydrates and proteins that are light, and dry and sealed. It's easy to find water that you can boil
and use to make Ramen noodles. It's easier than many survivalists make it out to be. Water really is the most abundant thing on this planet. So pack
clean drinking water, and plan to use found water to cook with. Since you would be boiling everything anyway, found water will be mostly cleaned
through the boiling process. Maybe a small first aid kit. Maybe a pistol and a shotgun and a decent hatchet, or machete.
You don't need much more than that. You don't need sleeping bags and skin cream, and medication and SPF-20 sunblock and bug spray.
You need 3 days of supplies, to get you 3 days ahead of the crowds, who MIGHT catch on and start moving away from urban centers after a couple days.
Once you are ahead of the crowds you will have more time and space to capture, steal, or negotiate supplies as you need them, and you can keep moving
until you find a place that has what you need and seems safe and you resettle and start to make a more normal hunter gatherer existence for your self
like old time pioneers did.
The hardest thing of any situation that can be considered SHTF is not freaking out. Controlling your emotions. Allowing yourself to shut off the
emotions you feel and look at every passing second as just a single step in a series of simple steps that you have to accomplish so that you can get
to a place, both in real life and emotionally so that you can stop and evaluate what you have gone through and how that impacts you.
And to be clear, I'm not saying, abandon everyone and everything and just think of yourself. Obviously not. But you need to consider that in a true
SHTF situation, not everyone will be looking to your for help, or looking to help you. Movies about this stuff are all based on our best ideals and
philosophies. It' like battle planning.
No battle plan survives the firing of the first shot.
If you wanna help people then do what you can, but try to think in terms of overall best idea. Get out, get safe, get stable.
This post was full of interesting "thought experiments" in my opinion. Movie concepts based on people who are sitting comfortably in a recliner and
talking about ideas of what is most important.
Reality is always much simpler, and much more direct. You don't wanna die in an urban survival scenario? Don't be in an urban survival scenario.
Move to a rural survival scenario, which as hard as it is, is still slightly better in the overall probabilities category. You can eat animals and
plants that are more abundant in a forest, than trying to dig through burned out supermarkets or trash houses.
If you can't leave. If the words or thoughts, "I can't get out of the city" pop for you and are real. Then hunker down and wait for the end. Maybe
you will defy all the odds and come out on top. I'll wish you the very best of luck in that.
