Just was trying to catch up on the thread as I haven't been around a whole lot these days. But I'll try to respond to what I can for right now.
Originally posted by Dark Oracle
#1 Based on extensive evaluation of Google Imagery, I'm going to call into question the precision of the measurements involved.
The measurements are obviously not meant to be 100% exact, as that would be simply impossible anyway. Instead, they're meant to give a ballpark
figure we can work with. To come at those dimensions, I drew a 100''-0" line in google earth. I then insert the image into another program and
draw a 100'-0" line. I then scale the image so that the two are 100% identical. There is always a margin of error when you do this kind of thing.
But as long as the size of the objects in google earth are close to being the real deal, the margin of error should be small enough that the
dimensions I provided are pretty close (I'd guess +/- less than a foot). And even if you consider this when comparing the aircraft to everything
else we know of in the inventory, nothing quite matches.
The aircraft in the image appear to have a delta-wing style airframe, twin vertical stabilizers, and, like you said, something resembling a cockpit at
the front of the plane. But the dimensions and characteristics of the aircraft are not even close to being anything we know of.
Originally posted by Dark Oracle
#2 This is obviously laid out as a quick alert Air Defense field. Our fighters F-15s and F-22s regularly respond to Russian Strategic Bombers when
they fly too close to our Alaskan Air Space and that's what this airstrip is setup for.
Not necessarily. Remember, this area is actually ON a tract of government-owned land we refer to around here as "Donnelly Training Area". The
Donnelly Training Area actually extends all the way to the river to the West of the landing strip in the google earth photos I posted. That's one
reason people have proposed these are wooden aircraft targets. But why build a landing strip with this measure of complexity, complete with taxiways
and parking spots just to turn it into a crater-ridden landscape? Something more is going on here.
Originally posted by Dark Oracle
#3 Look at Google Imagery of Elmendorf AFB. You'll see several F-15s on the Apron. If you zoom in to the same scale as the OP pictures you'll see
that they look remarkably similar. Regardless of what the measurements say these aircraft are obviously either F-15s or F-22s.
Yes, F-15's are stationed up here at Elmendorf (Not at Eielson). Eielson is home to the F-16's of the 18th Fighter Squadron and it used to be home
to the squadron of A-10's that were flown by the 355th Fighter Squadron. Other than that, it is widely used these days for "Red Flag" exercises
and the annual "Cope Thunder" joint training exercise. Eielson is used for these purposes because of the length of the runway, the immense airspace
available to pilots up here (which is much larger than what you usually see around other Air Force Bases) and because of the complex system of ranges
and training areas that surround the base. I know this because:
1- I was stationed there for 3 years and worked in munitions.
2- I've lived in the area for 10 years.
We've already discussed the possibility of these being F-15's or F-22's and every time someone sais "These are obviously F-15's or F-22's", I
feel like pulling my hair out all over again. They are so obviously and absolutely NOT based on what information we have at this point. The
dimensions I gave for the aircraft are not going to be 15-20 feet (or more) off the real thing, which would be required for this thing to be an F-15
or F-22. And even if you considered the possibility, if you take an F-15 or F-22 and scale up these jets to match what we see in the image (@ full
scale), the characteristics simply don't match. Because
Remember, these are ballpark dimensions..
The aircraft in the photo has
Length: 37'-4"
Wingspan: 28'-0"
Width of Fuselage: 10' including what appear to be dual intakes
Vertical stabilizers canted?: YES
compared to..
F-15:
Length 63.75 ft (19.43 m)
Wingspan 42.81 ft (13.05 m)
Vertical stabilizers canted?: NO. If they are, it isn't anything near what we see in the image.
F-22:
Length: 62 ft 1 inch
Wingspan: 44 ft 6 inches
Vertical stabilizers canted?: YES.
The dimension difference is one major problem that you can't ignore.. Even if my ballpark is off by 5'-10' (Which it most likely is not).
The aircraft in the photo appear to have characteristics of both F-15's and F-22's only at about 5/8 the size..
Originally posted by Dark Oracle
#4 Believe me I wish they were some kind of really awesome new secret strike aircraft but it doesn't make sense and it wouldn't be a UCAV because
there are obvious arrangements in the layout for a cockpit. UCAVS don't look like that.
Why doesn't it make sense? This area and those like it are absolutely remote. Noone ever has to see these planes taking off or landing. Plus,
given the immense size of the airspace available up here for military aircraft, they have a huge area at their disposal.
Is there a cockpit? The images don't give you a clear answer to that. There does appear to be a raised portion of the fuselage at the front of the
aircraft, but to assume this to be a cockpit would be jumping to conclusions. If you saw a predator from this height, you might assume it, too, has a
cockpit based on the characteristics of the aircraft. But it doesn't.
Originally posted by Dark Oracle
#5 Best guess based on the image being takin in 2005, these are F-15s on ready alert (the pilots are hanging out in the ready area nearby) in case a
Bear or Backfire bomber strays a bit too close to Alaskan Airspace.
Really cool discussion though.
F-15's are already on ready alert at Elmendorf for this purpose though right? All the instances of bear intercepts that I've read about off the
Alaskan coast involved F-15's stationed at Elmendorf. Including the most famous one where an F-15 pilot showed the russian pilots a playboy spread
through the cockpit in 1982.
-ChriS