reply to post by sanchoearlyjones
The links are really interesting and helpful thanks.. I was expecting that the US/UK/Israel would use this incident as leverage against Russia to
minimise Russian co-operation with Iran should an attack on Iran take place. My suspicions are based on the route in question which leads me to feel
that the West was the buyer in question not Iran..
I still assume that it was nuclear rather than S300 given the amount of hardware space and the weight/space shipping an S300 system would take on a
vessel the size of the Arctic Sea, which is really quite small. So I'm guessing for damage limitation reasons that Russia would also prefer the
world think it was an S300 system rather than anything worse.
I would guess the "media" needs to talk things up in that it points the finger at Mossad as the ones who did the deed, as that would also justify
their public position on Iran, the boogeyman has tried to buy S300s! but how will a few S300s help, when I would assume they would need a lot to
protect their installations. Does anyone know how many they would need to defend against a concerted attack?
Yes they could purchase enough bits to start their own S300 production line, but that would take years of work to be an effective defence shield. So
that just does not hold water with me, as all the threats are now, beside by that time the West will have ways of countering S300 missiles.
A logical Iranian purchase would be for offensive purposes rather than defensive, and 3 X-55 cruise missiles with nuclear warheads would be enough to
wipe Israel off the map, hence ensure a MAD position, which would offer greater defence than S300s would, and if Arctic Seas cargo was really destined
for Iran, that would be my assumption.
The methodology being sold to the public smells bad to me, Iran would go for something small but effective now, not something that would be effective
in 5 years and at a best guess would be out of date when it comes into service.
So my suspicion by the route she took the cargo was destined for a Western buyer either Western Government as leverage against Russian co-operation
with Iran, or for a Terrorist organisation planning an incident in the West. I feel sure that it will turn out the cargo is in the hands of Western
nations rather than a Terrorist group.
Bin Ladens "present" to Muslims had me really worried for a while, but since this now appears (as your links show) that the incident is being used
as leverage against the Russian, I feel happier, tho not happy enough since this thought leads me to assume an attack on Iran could be imminent unless
Iran finds a way of appeasing Western demands, which it seems to be trying to do at the moment with it's counter proposals.. lots of face saving
going on at the moment, but will it be enough, I've no idea.