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The sun's magnetic field does reverse every 11 years but it does not "flip"
Originally posted by symmetricAvenger
But the evidence is clear the sun is doing some odd stuff right now "no spots" none for the past 300 years we have seen ZIP from our sun....
These predictions have several things in common: 1. They're going to happen "Real Soon Now(tm)". 2. They're a result of forces external to us. 3. Mankind is a mess, and we're either going to be saved or punished 4. They're aways wrong
Originally posted by Phage
In May of 2009 new data caused the prediction to be revised.
CONSENSUS STATEMENT OF THE SOLAR CYCLE 24 PREDICTION PANEL March 20, 2007
May 8, 2009
Solar Cycle 24 Prediction Update May 8, 2009 -- The Solar Cycle 24 Prediction Panel has reached a consensus decision on the prediction of the next solar cycle (Cycle 24). First, the panel has agreed that solar minimum occurred in December, 2008. This still qualifies as a prediction since the smoothed sunspot number is only valid through September, 2008. The panel has decided that the next solar cycle will be below average in intensity, with a maximum sunspot number of 90. Given the predicted date of solar minimum and the predicted maximum intensity, solar maximum is now expected to occur in May, 2013. Note, this is a consensus opinion, not a unanimous decision. A supermajority of the panel did agree to this prediction.
Recent Changes to Solar Cycle Values and Plots
March 2, 2009 -- The Solar Cycle 24 Prediction Panel has not issued any updates to their prediction. However, the Space Weather Prediction Center, and the Chair of the Prediction Panel decided to implement what they believe to be an obvious change to the plotted data. The two predictions, of maximum being either a SSN of 90 or a SSN of 140 remain intact. Once the date of solar minimum is known, that is all the information needed to arrive at a prediction curve. The panel prediction of solar minimum in March, 2008 has been eclipsed.Minimum will now occur no earlier than August, 2008. For every month beyond March 2008 that minimum slips, it is necessary to shift the prediction curves by the same amount. SWPC commenced doing so in mid-February and will continue to do so, unless or until the prediction panel sets a new predicted date for the time of solar minimum.
In March 1989, a solar storm much less intense than the perfect space storm of 1859 caused the Hydro-Quebec (Canada) power grid to go down for over nine hours, and the resulting damages and loss in revenue were estimated to be in the hundreds of millions of dollars.
posted on 31-5-2009 @ 10:21 PM single this post "quote"REPLY TO: The Sun and 2012 Well I have just been surfing as you do.. and came across this www.newscientist.com... now i shall put some info from the link IT IS midnight on 22 September 2012 and the skies above Manhattan are filled with a flickering curtain of colourful light. Few New Yorkers have seen the aurora this far south but their fascination is short-lived. Within a few seconds, electric bulbs dim and flicker, then become unusually bright for a fleeting moment. Then all the lights in the state go out. Within 90 seconds, the entire eastern half of the US is without power. Keep reading www.nap.edu... More? www.newscientist.com... you bet! and now ? www.space.com... interesting? www.space.com... what is going on ?? and this ? www.projectcamelot.org...
Originally posted by dalan.
reply to post by Spooky Fox Mulder
I just wanted to add that the more negative posts on here gave me a mental image of the dark space that surrounds us trying to convince a star to stop "burning so brightly, what is the point, you are surrounded by darkness."
[edit on 8/2/2009 by dalan.]