And these reports also related:
Clinton stirs Israeli fears US will accept nuclear Iran
US ready to upgrade defences of Gulf allies if Iran builds nuclear
arms
In my view this is not accepting a nuclear Iran, as Obama and his team have made the same realisation as me. That is, that the Islamic regime are
collapsing and within the next few months they will be too busy trying to keep control of their people.
Not giving the regime a chance to win the people back is important, and so we can't threaten them too much, but we can say we'll defend against a
nuclear-armed Iran. And make sure our position appears strong by saying we won't accept a nuclear armed Iran.
Last Friday around 3 million people were out on the streets, and around 20,000 tried to take over the interior ministry and the state tv building.
They almost succeeded, and if they can get even 1 minute of air-time almost everybody will be out on the streets, and the regime would be finished.
It will only take something like this to push it over the edge.
My friends visiting family who were in the protests said they were surprised that the media over here were saying only a few hundred were out
protesting last Friday. And they said that the general consensus over there in Iran is that the regime is on its way out.
36 army officers were arrested for planning to protest last Friday -
www.guardian.co.uk...
And so the army is split, and although this can only get more bloody before a peaceful outcome, we have to hope this whole situation doesn't spiral
into a civil war, or that Israel don't do anything stupid and start a war which may unite them all against the West.
The best outcome is for somehow to capture the state tv or inspire the people in another way to all protest in 10's of millions at once. Then the
illegal regime (or what's left of it) from the Russian backed coup d'etat which rigged the election will collapse entirely.
The US, and the West, and Israel, all need to keep a safe distance and let this play out. We need to give the regime a signal that we're willing to
defend allies as was done today. And try and persuade Russia to back a UN resolution to condemn this regime's actions, by cancelling the missile
shield should that be necessary.
This may lead to future military action if the regime doesn't collapse, but all signs point towards the regime collapsing.
And North Korea..... that's another issue altogether and I have no idea how to solve that one.
news.bbc.co.uk
(visit the link for the full news article)
[edit on 22-7-2009 by john124]