reply to post by grapesofraft
"Dr. James Harder, had felt the test was inconclusive as a result of Walton's emotional instability. The Enquirer accepted this and ordered the
follow up Pfeifer test."
"The initial tests of the six witnesses, performed by Cy Gilson while Walton was still missing, were CQT-format examinations. The questions he asked
primarily addressed the possibility of some non-extraordinary foul play at work, but pointedly questioned the witnesses regarding the veracity of the
reported UFO event. As mentioned previously, five of the six passed, with the one inconclusive result.
In the next test to be performed, a private investigator named John McCarthy was hired to test Walton relatively soon after his reappearance. McCarthy
ruled Walton deceptive, and the test results were regrettably suppressed by APRO and the National Enquirer. (This test will be discussed in detail
below.)
A follow-up examination of Walton by George Pfeifer ruled Walton truthful. After allegations aired by critics, Walton's mother and brother also took
and passed polygraph tests administered by Pfeifer.
Twenty years later, in 1993, Cy Gilson retested key participants Travis Walton, (foreman and Walton friend) Mike Rogers, and Allen Dalis (the original
"inconclusive" result), using a state-of-the-art computer-scored CQT methodology. All three passed.
The significance of the unanimous passing of competently administered CQT examinations by all six witnesses is considerable. Assuming independent
tests, the odds of gross hoax (all participants lying about the UFO encounter) is less than one-tenth of a percent using the reasonably conservative
figure of 70% for test accuracy, and on the order of one in a million using the 90% figure suggested by field tests. In short, relatively strong
evidence that some kind of real event took place. On the basis of such evidence, APRO praised the case as one of the most important in history."
Doesn't seem that that one failed test was very significant. And even if this case was a hoax and all six were lying while passing polygraph exams
against all odds, so what? It's just one of the thousands of reports. And there are definitely more convincing cases.
[edit on 20-7-2009 by AliensExist]